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If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Market icon

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Harris

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$2,060,167 Vol.

Harris

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$2,060,167 Vol.

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.

The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).

If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
音量
$2,060,167
終了日
2024/10/27
マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2024, 12:41 PM ET
This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

提案された結果: Harris

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Harris

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.

The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).

If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
音量
$2,060,167
終了日
2024/10/27
マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2024, 12:41 PM ET
This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

提案された結果: Harris

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Harris

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?」で100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

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