Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in her primary. The Cook Political Report rates the seat as Solid Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this eastern and northern Boise area district. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,049 Vol.
93%
民主党
$3,409 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in her primary. The Cook Political Report rates the seat as Solid Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this eastern and northern Boise area district. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$6,458終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in her primary. The Cook Political Report rates the seat as Solid Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this eastern and northern Boise area district. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,458終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical performance. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath advanced unopposed in her primary. The Cook Political Report rates the seat as Solid Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this eastern and northern Boise area district. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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