The March 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics report, released April 3, revealed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rising 178,000—exceeding consensus estimates of 60,000—while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.3% from 4.4%, reflecting 332,000 fewer unemployed amid a labor force drop. This rebound from February's weakness signals labor market stabilization, though gains concentrated in health care, construction, and logistics amid moderating wage pressures. FOMC's March projections hold the median unemployment rate at 4.4% for year-end 2026, aligning with CBO's anticipated peak of 4.6%, as traders weigh cooling inflation against geopolitical risks like the Iran conflict. Key catalysts ahead include the April jobs report on May 2 and the June FOMC meeting, where policy shifts could sway participation rates and hiring trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$347,826 Vol.
2026/01/10
5.0%
48%
5.5%
28%
6.0%
19%
7.0%
14%
10.0%
5%
$347,826 Vol.
5.0%
$82,736 Vol.
48%
5.5%
$179,451 Vol.
28%
6.0%
$49,202 Vol.
19%
7.0%
$16,704 Vol.
14%
10.0%
$19,733 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The March 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics report, released April 3, revealed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rising 178,000—exceeding consensus estimates of 60,000—while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.3% from 4.4%, reflecting 332,000 fewer unemployed amid a labor force drop. This rebound from February's weakness signals labor market stabilization, though gains concentrated in health care, construction, and logistics amid moderating wage pressures. FOMC's March projections hold the median unemployment rate at 4.4% for year-end 2026, aligning with CBO's anticipated peak of 4.6%, as traders weigh cooling inflation against geopolitical risks like the Iran conflict. Key catalysts ahead include the April jobs report on May 2 and the June FOMC meeting, where policy shifts could sway participation rates and hiring trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
音量
$347,826終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The March 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics report, released April 3, revealed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rising 178,000—exceeding consensus estimates of 60,000—while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.3% from 4.4%, reflecting 332,000 fewer unemployed amid a labor force drop. This rebound from February's weakness signals labor market stabilization, though gains concentrated in health care, construction, and logistics amid moderating wage pressures. FOMC's March projections hold the median unemployment rate at 4.4% for year-end 2026, aligning with CBO's anticipated peak of 4.6%, as traders weigh cooling inflation against geopolitical risks like the Iran conflict. Key catalysts ahead include the April jobs report on May 2 and the June FOMC meeting, where policy shifts could sway participation rates and hiring trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$347,826終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The March 2026 Bureau of Labor Statistics report, released April 3, revealed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rising 178,000—exceeding consensus estimates of 60,000—while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.3% from 4.4%, reflecting 332,000 fewer unemployed amid a labor force drop. This rebound from February's weakness signals labor market stabilization, though gains concentrated in health care, construction, and logistics amid moderating wage pressures. FOMC's March projections hold the median unemployment rate at 4.4% for year-end 2026, aligning with CBO's anticipated peak of 4.6%, as traders weigh cooling inflation against geopolitical risks like the Iran conflict. Key catalysts ahead include the April jobs report on May 2 and the June FOMC meeting, where policy shifts could sway participation rates and hiring trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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