Incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over leading Republican primary contenders—48% to 43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47% to 44% against Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49% to 41% against Derek Dooley—according to Emerson College's March survey of 1,000 likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at an 83% implied probability for a Democratic hold. Fresh reports of GOP primary disarray, including intraparty recriminations and stalled unity efforts despite Gov. Kemp's endorsement of Dooley and candidates' White House outreach, risk extending the May 19 primary into a June runoff and depleting resources against Ossoff's $24 million war chest. This battleground race remains fluid until post-primary consolidation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$19,851 Vol.
$19,851 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
83%
共和党
17%
$19,851 Vol.
$19,851 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,541 Vol.
83%
共和党
$12,310 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over leading Republican primary contenders—48% to 43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47% to 44% against Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49% to 41% against Derek Dooley—according to Emerson College's March survey of 1,000 likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at an 83% implied probability for a Democratic hold. Fresh reports of GOP primary disarray, including intraparty recriminations and stalled unity efforts despite Gov. Kemp's endorsement of Dooley and candidates' White House outreach, risk extending the May 19 primary into a June runoff and depleting resources against Ossoff's $24 million war chest. This battleground race remains fluid until post-primary consolidation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$19,851終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over leading Republican primary contenders—48% to 43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47% to 44% against Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49% to 41% against Derek Dooley—according to Emerson College's March survey of 1,000 likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at an 83% implied probability for a Democratic hold. Fresh reports of GOP primary disarray, including intraparty recriminations and stalled unity efforts despite Gov. Kemp's endorsement of Dooley and candidates' White House outreach, risk extending the May 19 primary into a June runoff and depleting resources against Ossoff's $24 million war chest. This battleground race remains fluid until post-primary consolidation.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$19,851終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over leading Republican primary contenders—48% to 43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47% to 44% against Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49% to 41% against Derek Dooley—according to Emerson College's March survey of 1,000 likely voters, anchoring trader consensus at an 83% implied probability for a Democratic hold. Fresh reports of GOP primary disarray, including intraparty recriminations and stalled unity efforts despite Gov. Kemp's endorsement of Dooley and candidates' White House outreach, risk extending the May 19 primary into a June runoff and depleting resources against Ossoff's $24 million war chest. This battleground race remains fluid until post-primary consolidation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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