Jared Moskowitz holds the lead in trader consensus for Florida’s 25th Congressional District because his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising near $3 million, and record of bipartisan work on emergency management and Israel policy have offset the district’s post-redistricting Republican tilt. The new coastal map, drawn earlier in 2026 and stretching through Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, performed about nine points more Republican in the prior presidential election, shifting ratings toward toss-up or lean-D territory. Scott Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor, secured the Republican nomination and Trump’s endorsement but trails with roughly $2 million raised and emphasis on local tax cuts and cost-of-living issues. Heavy television advertising from both sides and recent ratings adjustments, including a Fox News move toward Democrats, have reinforced Moskowitz’s positioning ahead of the November 3 contest.