Incumbent Republican Brian Mast dominates trader sentiment for the FL-21 House seat with an 86.5% implied probability, anchored by the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his strong past performances, including a 62% general election win in 2024. Mast's recent selection to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee bolsters his profile, while his $2.3 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic challengers like Pia Dandiya ($929,000), amid a fragmented five-way Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no polls yet but historical incumbent advantages in midterms favoring retention. Upcoming April filing deadline and August 18 primary could clarify nominees, though structural leans keep Democratic odds at 12.5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,670 Vol.
86%
民主党
$2,388 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast dominates trader sentiment for the FL-21 House seat with an 86.5% implied probability, anchored by the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his strong past performances, including a 62% general election win in 2024. Mast's recent selection to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee bolsters his profile, while his $2.3 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic challengers like Pia Dandiya ($929,000), amid a fragmented five-way Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no polls yet but historical incumbent advantages in midterms favoring retention. Upcoming April filing deadline and August 18 primary could clarify nominees, though structural leans keep Democratic odds at 12.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$5,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast dominates trader sentiment for the FL-21 House seat with an 86.5% implied probability, anchored by the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his strong past performances, including a 62% general election win in 2024. Mast's recent selection to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee bolsters his profile, while his $2.3 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic challengers like Pia Dandiya ($929,000), amid a fragmented five-way Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no polls yet but historical incumbent advantages in midterms favoring retention. Upcoming April filing deadline and August 18 primary could clarify nominees, though structural leans keep Democratic odds at 12.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast dominates trader sentiment for the FL-21 House seat with an 86.5% implied probability, anchored by the district's R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his strong past performances, including a 62% general election win in 2024. Mast's recent selection to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee bolsters his profile, while his $2.3 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Democratic challengers like Pia Dandiya ($929,000), amid a fragmented five-way Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no polls yet but historical incumbent advantages in midterms favoring retention. Upcoming April filing deadline and August 18 primary could clarify nominees, though structural leans keep Democratic odds at 12.5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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