Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of winning the 2026 general election. The district's R+7 to R+15 partisan lean, reinforced by the April 2026 congressional map that preserved its core boundaries and voter base in Palm Beach, Martin, and St. Lucie counties, underpins this outlook. Mast's 61.8% victory in 2024, combined with his established fundraising edge and the absence of high-profile Democratic challengers in an August primary featuring multiple lesser-known candidates, limits crossover potential. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited recent shifts that could alter the balance before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,041 Vol.
86%
民主党
$2,791 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of winning the 2026 general election. The district's R+7 to R+15 partisan lean, reinforced by the April 2026 congressional map that preserved its core boundaries and voter base in Palm Beach, Martin, and St. Lucie counties, underpins this outlook. Mast's 61.8% victory in 2024, combined with his established fundraising edge and the absence of high-profile Democratic challengers in an August primary featuring multiple lesser-known candidates, limits crossover potential. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited recent shifts that could alter the balance before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$6,832終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of winning the 2026 general election. The district's R+7 to R+15 partisan lean, reinforced by the April 2026 congressional map that preserved its core boundaries and voter base in Palm Beach, Martin, and St. Lucie counties, underpins this outlook. Mast's 61.8% victory in 2024, combined with his established fundraising edge and the absence of high-profile Democratic challengers in an August primary featuring multiple lesser-known candidates, limits crossover potential. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited recent shifts that could alter the balance before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,832終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a strong position in Florida's 21st congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85.5% implied probability of winning the 2026 general election. The district's R+7 to R+15 partisan lean, reinforced by the April 2026 congressional map that preserved its core boundaries and voter base in Palm Beach, Martin, and St. Lucie counties, underpins this outlook. Mast's 61.8% victory in 2024, combined with his established fundraising edge and the absence of high-profile Democratic challengers in an August primary featuring multiple lesser-known candidates, limits crossover potential. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited recent shifts that could alter the balance before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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