Florida's 18th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and delivered a 64% vote share for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, establishing a durable partisan advantage that shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, first elected in 2020 and seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition, significant fundraising edge, and primary ballot access on August 18, while Democratic contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong remain early in their primary contest. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the district's rural and inland character across Polk, Highlands, and surrounding counties. These structural elements sustain the current market positioning, though developments such as primary turnout or broader national economic signals could still influence final margins before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,998 Vol.
$13,998 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$13,998 Vol.
$13,998 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,394 Vol.
83%
民主党
$6,605 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 18th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and delivered a 64% vote share for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, establishing a durable partisan advantage that shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, first elected in 2020 and seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition, significant fundraising edge, and primary ballot access on August 18, while Democratic contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong remain early in their primary contest. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the district's rural and inland character across Polk, Highlands, and surrounding counties. These structural elements sustain the current market positioning, though developments such as primary turnout or broader national economic signals could still influence final margins before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$13,998終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 18th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and delivered a 64% vote share for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, establishing a durable partisan advantage that shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, first elected in 2020 and seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition, significant fundraising edge, and primary ballot access on August 18, while Democratic contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong remain early in their primary contest. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the district's rural and inland character across Polk, Highlands, and surrounding counties. These structural elements sustain the current market positioning, though developments such as primary turnout or broader national economic signals could still influence final margins before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,998終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 18th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14 and delivered a 64% vote share for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, establishing a durable partisan advantage that shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin, first elected in 2020 and seeking another term, benefits from established name recognition, significant fundraising edge, and primary ballot access on August 18, while Democratic contenders Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong remain early in their primary contest. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the district's rural and inland character across Polk, Highlands, and surrounding counties. These structural elements sustain the current market positioning, though developments such as primary turnout or broader national economic signals could still influence final margins before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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