Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a modest Republican tilt reflected in the Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating and a Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent Democratic recruitment efforts and super PAC targeting have surfaced challengers for the August 18 primary, yet fundraising and historical margins in Pinellas County continue to favor the Republican side. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural advantages and Luna’s established name recognition against the possibility of a competitive general election on November 3, producing the current 69 percent Republican implied probability. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
28%
共和党
52%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$832 Vol.
28%
共和党
$221 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a modest Republican tilt reflected in the Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating and a Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent Democratic recruitment efforts and super PAC targeting have surfaced challengers for the August 18 primary, yet fundraising and historical margins in Pinellas County continue to favor the Republican side. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural advantages and Luna’s established name recognition against the possibility of a competitive general election on November 3, producing the current 69 percent Republican implied probability. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$1,053終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a modest Republican tilt reflected in the Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating and a Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent Democratic recruitment efforts and super PAC targeting have surfaced challengers for the August 18 primary, yet fundraising and historical margins in Pinellas County continue to favor the Republican side. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural advantages and Luna’s established name recognition against the possibility of a competitive general election on November 3, producing the current 69 percent Republican implied probability. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,053終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna seeks re-election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where redistricting produced a modest Republican tilt reflected in the Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating and a Partisan Voting Index of R+6. Recent Democratic recruitment efforts and super PAC targeting have surfaced challengers for the August 18 primary, yet fundraising and historical margins in Pinellas County continue to favor the Republican side. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural advantages and Luna’s established name recognition against the possibility of a competitive general election on November 3, producing the current 69 percent Republican implied probability. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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