Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
46%
共和党
52%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
46%
共和党
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors the Republican Party at 52.5% for Florida's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's reelection strengths in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report, bolstered by her substantial fundraising exceeding $1.4 million and the area's partisan voting index lean. Democrats, viewing FL-13 as their top pickup target in Florida, have recruited challengers including Leela Gray, who launched her bid in early February 2026, keeping the race competitive at 42% implied probability. No major polling exists yet in this early cycle, with Florida's closed primaries set for August 18 and the general election November 3; statewide surveys highlight affordability concerns favoring Republicans generically. Recent controversy over Luna hosting a Russian legislative delegation has sparked criticism but not shifted odds significantly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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