Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 moved the 9th district rightward under the map backed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifting its partisan voting index to R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1 percent, faces a competitive general election environment on November 3 after the August 18 primaries. Republicans have fielded multiple candidates, including self-funding challenger Thomas Chalifoux, while Soto remains the Democratic nominee. These structural changes and the resulting ratings updates have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Republican victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,081 Vol.
$13,081 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
57%
民主党
40%
$13,081 Vol.
$13,081 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,958 Vol.
57%
民主党
$5,123 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 moved the 9th district rightward under the map backed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifting its partisan voting index to R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1 percent, faces a competitive general election environment on November 3 after the August 18 primaries. Republicans have fielded multiple candidates, including self-funding challenger Thomas Chalifoux, while Soto remains the Democratic nominee. These structural changes and the resulting ratings updates have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$13,081終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 moved the 9th district rightward under the map backed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifting its partisan voting index to R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1 percent, faces a competitive general election environment on November 3 after the August 18 primaries. Republicans have fielded multiple candidates, including self-funding challenger Thomas Chalifoux, while Soto remains the Democratic nominee. These structural changes and the resulting ratings updates have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,081終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 moved the 9th district rightward under the map backed by Governor Ron DeSantis, shifting its partisan voting index to R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1 percent, faces a competitive general election environment on November 3 after the August 18 primaries. Republicans have fielded multiple candidates, including self-funding challenger Thomas Chalifoux, while Soto remains the Democratic nominee. These structural changes and the resulting ratings updates have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing for a Republican victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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