Spain's overwhelming 80.5% implied probability to win Group H stems from their status as FIFA's top-ranked side, Euro 2024 champions, and dominant 3-0 friendly victory over Serbia last month where Mikel Oyarzabal netted twice, showcasing depth with Rodri's return from ACL recovery offsetting midfield injuries like Mikel Merino's foot issue. Uruguay holds 16% as the clear second via strong CONMEBOL qualifying and a resilient 1-1 draw against England, but trader sentiment cooled after starter Joaquín Piquerez suffered a severe ankle ligament tear in that match, likely ruling him out. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.3%) lag due to lower FIFA rankings (61st and 69th), recent Saudi 4-0 loss to Egypt amid coaching uncertainty, and Cape Verde's talent gap despite topping CAF Group D.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スペイン 81%
ウルグアイ 16%
サウジアラビア 2.4%
カーボベルデ 2.2%
$70,500 Vol.
$70,500 Vol.
2026/06/27
スペイン
81%
ウルグアイ
16%
サウジアラビア
2%
カーボベルデ
2%
スペイン 81%
ウルグアイ 16%
サウジアラビア 2.4%
カーボベルデ 2.2%
$70,500 Vol.
$70,500 Vol.
2026/06/27
スペイン
$8,377 Vol.
81%
ウルグアイ
$3,064 Vol.
16%
サウジアラビア
$4,447 Vol.
2%
カーボベルデ
$54,612 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 80.5% implied probability to win Group H stems from their status as FIFA's top-ranked side, Euro 2024 champions, and dominant 3-0 friendly victory over Serbia last month where Mikel Oyarzabal netted twice, showcasing depth with Rodri's return from ACL recovery offsetting midfield injuries like Mikel Merino's foot issue. Uruguay holds 16% as the clear second via strong CONMEBOL qualifying and a resilient 1-1 draw against England, but trader sentiment cooled after starter Joaquín Piquerez suffered a severe ankle ligament tear in that match, likely ruling him out. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.3%) lag due to lower FIFA rankings (61st and 69th), recent Saudi 4-0 loss to Egypt amid coaching uncertainty, and Cape Verde's talent gap despite topping CAF Group D.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
音量
$70,500終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 80.5% implied probability to win Group H stems from their status as FIFA's top-ranked side, Euro 2024 champions, and dominant 3-0 friendly victory over Serbia last month where Mikel Oyarzabal netted twice, showcasing depth with Rodri's return from ACL recovery offsetting midfield injuries like Mikel Merino's foot issue. Uruguay holds 16% as the clear second via strong CONMEBOL qualifying and a resilient 1-1 draw against England, but trader sentiment cooled after starter Joaquín Piquerez suffered a severe ankle ligament tear in that match, likely ruling him out. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.3%) lag due to lower FIFA rankings (61st and 69th), recent Saudi 4-0 loss to Egypt amid coaching uncertainty, and Cape Verde's talent gap despite topping CAF Group D.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$70,500終了日
2026/06/27マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's overwhelming 80.5% implied probability to win Group H stems from their status as FIFA's top-ranked side, Euro 2024 champions, and dominant 3-0 friendly victory over Serbia last month where Mikel Oyarzabal netted twice, showcasing depth with Rodri's return from ACL recovery offsetting midfield injuries like Mikel Merino's foot issue. Uruguay holds 16% as the clear second via strong CONMEBOL qualifying and a resilient 1-1 draw against England, but trader sentiment cooled after starter Joaquín Piquerez suffered a severe ankle ligament tear in that match, likely ruling him out. Saudi Arabia (2.4%) and debutants Cape Verde (2.3%) lag due to lower FIFA rankings (61st and 69th), recent Saudi 4-0 loss to Egypt amid coaching uncertainty, and Cape Verde's talent gap despite topping CAF Group D.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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