Belgium holds a commanding 69.5% implied probability as Group G winner in the FIFA World Cup 2026, bolstered by their top-10 FIFA ranking, depth in midfield with Kevin De Bruyne, and a dominant 5-2 friendly win over the USA on March 28 despite missing Leandro Trossard. Egypt trails at 20.5% as the main challenger, relying on Mohamed Salah's scoring prowess despite his recent muscle injury sidelining him from national team camp, with a recent 4-0 friendly rout of Saudi Arabia underscoring their attack. Iran and New Zealand languish below 3% amid Iran's ongoing participation uncertainty from geopolitical tensions and rejected requests to relocate U.S.-based fixtures to Mexico, while New Zealand, ranked 86th, prepares via FIFA Series matches against Finland and Chile but faces steep odds as OFC representatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ベルギー 70%
エジプト 25%
ニュージーランド 2.6%
イラン 2.6%
$24,775 Vol.
$24,775 Vol.
ベルギー
70%
エジプト
21%
ニュージーランド
3%
イラン
3%
ベルギー 70%
エジプト 25%
ニュージーランド 2.6%
イラン 2.6%
$24,775 Vol.
$24,775 Vol.
ベルギー
70%
エジプト
21%
ニュージーランド
3%
イラン
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Belgium holds a commanding 69.5% implied probability as Group G winner in the FIFA World Cup 2026, bolstered by their top-10 FIFA ranking, depth in midfield with Kevin De Bruyne, and a dominant 5-2 friendly win over the USA on March 28 despite missing Leandro Trossard. Egypt trails at 20.5% as the main challenger, relying on Mohamed Salah's scoring prowess despite his recent muscle injury sidelining him from national team camp, with a recent 4-0 friendly rout of Saudi Arabia underscoring their attack. Iran and New Zealand languish below 3% amid Iran's ongoing participation uncertainty from geopolitical tensions and rejected requests to relocate U.S.-based fixtures to Mexico, while New Zealand, ranked 86th, prepares via FIFA Series matches against Finland and Chile but faces steep odds as OFC representatives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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