Switzerland leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability to win Group B—featuring Canada, Qatar, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—thanks to superior FIFA rankings, Granit Xhaka's full fitness, and dominant March friendlies showcasing attacking flair and quick transitions. Canada's 26% share reflects co-host home advantage with matches in Toronto and Vancouver, plus gritty results like a 2-2 draw versus Iceland under Jesse Marsch, despite monitoring Alphonso Davies' minor groin issue. Bosnia and Herzegovina's 16% stems from their dramatic UEFA playoff penalty shootout victory over Italy, marking their first World Cup since 2014 and injecting momentum via organized defending. Qatar trails at 4.5%, hampered by poor 2022 hosting memories and middling friendly form, underscoring the group's competitive balance ahead of June kickoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スイス 54%
カナダ 26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL 16%
カタール 4.5%
$34,851 Vol.
$34,851 Vol.
スイス
54%
カナダ
26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL
16%
カタール
5%
スイス 54%
カナダ 26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL 16%
カタール 4.5%
$34,851 Vol.
$34,851 Vol.
スイス
54%
カナダ
26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL
16%
カタール
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 6:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Switzerland leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability to win Group B—featuring Canada, Qatar, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—thanks to superior FIFA rankings, Granit Xhaka's full fitness, and dominant March friendlies showcasing attacking flair and quick transitions. Canada's 26% share reflects co-host home advantage with matches in Toronto and Vancouver, plus gritty results like a 2-2 draw versus Iceland under Jesse Marsch, despite monitoring Alphonso Davies' minor groin issue. Bosnia and Herzegovina's 16% stems from their dramatic UEFA playoff penalty shootout victory over Italy, marking their first World Cup since 2014 and injecting momentum via organized defending. Qatar trails at 4.5%, hampered by poor 2022 hosting memories and middling friendly form, underscoring the group's competitive balance ahead of June kickoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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