Market icon

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Market icon

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$44,071 Vol.

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$44,071 Vol.

≤2.4%

$14,417 Vol.

No

2.5%

$1,087 Vol.

No

2.6%

$2,758 Vol.

Yes

2.7%

$1,777 Vol.

No

2.8%

$2,152 Vol.

No

2.9%

$19,746 Vol.

No

≥3.0%

$2,134 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have assigned a 100% implied probability to Japan's February unemployment rate resolving at 2.6%, reflecting the official Statistics Bureau release on March 30 confirming this seasonally adjusted figure—easing from January's 1.5-year high of 2.7% and undershooting consensus economist forecasts of 2.7%. This first decline in seven months underscores persistent labor market tightness, with jobless levels remaining among the G7's lowest amid steady payrolls and robust demand. Supporting the strong positioning are stable household consumption and wage growth signals tracked by the Bank of Japan, which held policy rates at 0.75% last week. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions, as the preliminary print typically finalizes without adjustment. Traders now eye April's March report for BOJ policy cues.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html.

The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$44,071
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have assigned a 100% implied probability to Japan's February unemployment rate resolving at 2.6%, reflecting the official Statistics Bureau release on March 30 confirming this seasonally adjusted figure—easing from January's 1.5-year high of 2.7% and undershooting consensus economist forecasts of 2.7%. This first decline in seven months underscores persistent labor market tightness, with jobless levels remaining among the G7's lowest amid steady payrolls and robust demand. Supporting the strong positioning are stable household consumption and wage growth signals tracked by the Bank of Japan, which held policy rates at 0.75% last week. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions, as the preliminary print typically finalizes without adjustment. Traders now eye April's March report for BOJ policy cues.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html.

The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$44,071
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2.6%」で100%、次いで「≤2.4%」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」は$44.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」の現在のフロントランナーは「2.6%」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「≤2.4%」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。