Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日メルセデス 76%
フェラーリ 17%
マクラーレン 3.3%
レッドブル・レーシング 2.1%
$7,386,718 Vol.
$7,386,718 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
メルセデス
76%
フェラーリ
17%
マクラーレン
3%
レッドブル・レーシング
2%
キャデラック
1%
レーシング・ブルズ
1%
ハース
1%
アルピーヌ
1%
ウィリアムズ
<1%
アストンマーティン
<1%
アウディ
<1%
メルセデス 76%
フェラーリ 17%
マクラーレン 3.3%
レッドブル・レーシング 2.1%
$7,386,718 Vol.
$7,386,718 Vol.
Dec 6, 2026
メルセデス
$495,325 Vol.
76%
フェラーリ
$243,554 Vol.
17%
マクラーレン
$989,497 Vol.
3%
レッドブル・レーシング
$376,924 Vol.
2%
キャデラック
$905,500 Vol.
1%
レーシング・ブルズ
$785,860 Vol.
1%
ハース
$926,885 Vol.
1%
アルピーヌ
$885,263 Vol.
1%
ウィリアムズ
$795,190 Vol.
<1%
アストンマーティン
$514,619 Vol.
<1%
アウディ
$468,168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
マーケット開始日： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
音量
$7,386,718終了日
Dec 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
音量
$7,386,718終了日
Dec 6, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 98-67 points lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship after dominant showings in the Australian and Chinese Grands Prix, where George Russell and Kimi Antonelli delivered a win each plus multiple podiums, driving trader consensus to a 75.5% implied probability of victory. Ferrari remains the primary threat at 16.5% with steady results from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, but the 31-point deficit highlights Mercedes' edge in power unit performance and race pace under new regulations. McLaren languishes third on 18 points amid inconsistent form, while Red Bull's midfield battles limit them to 2.1%, as early reliability and qualifying advantages solidify the frontrunners' positioning with over 20 races left for upgrades to influence outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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