Market icon

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

99% chance
Polymarket

$114,010 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between August 13 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Iranian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Iranian state or members of the Iranian government will not qualify.

The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

Only the imposition of sanctions on Iran by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Iran (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Iran unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$114,010
終了日
Sep 30, 2025
作成日時
Aug 13, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between August 13 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Iranian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Iranian state or members of the Iranian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Iran by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Iran (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Iran unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " has generated $114K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

99% chance
Polymarket

$114,010 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between August 13 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Iranian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Iranian state or members of the Iranian government will not qualify.

The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

Only the imposition of sanctions on Iran by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Iran (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Iran unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$114,010
終了日
Sep 30, 2025
作成日時
Aug 13, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between August 13 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Iranian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Iranian state or members of the Iranian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Iran by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Iran (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Iran unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " has generated $114K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.