Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 82% implied probability for Elder Scrolls VI releasing by December 31, driven by Bethesda's silence on any 2024 window amid a packed pipeline including Starfield's Shattered Space DLC launch this fall and ongoing Fallout support post-TV series success. Announced in 2018 with a brief teaser, the RPG juggernaut—successor to 2011's Skyrim—mirrors Starfield's seven-year dev cycle, with Todd Howard confirming active early production but no firm timeline at recent Xbox showcases. Absent surprise announcements at events like The Game Awards, historical Bethesda delays and Microsoft's multi-year RPG slate (Fable, Avowed) solidify trader bets on a 2026+ debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
マーケット開始日： Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elder Scrolls VI is officially released in the US by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Bethesda Softworks or its parent company, Microsoft.
音量
$0終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 82% implied probability for Elder Scrolls VI releasing by December 31, driven by Bethesda's silence on any 2024 window amid a packed pipeline including Starfield's Shattered Space DLC launch this fall and ongoing Fallout support post-TV series success. Announced in 2018 with a brief teaser, the RPG juggernaut—successor to 2011's Skyrim—mirrors Starfield's seven-year dev cycle, with Todd Howard confirming active early production but no firm timeline at recent Xbox showcases. Absent surprise announcements at events like The Game Awards, historical Bethesda delays and Microsoft's multi-year RPG slate (Fable, Avowed) solidify trader bets on a 2026+ debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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