The European Central Bank's Governing Council announced on April 30, 2026, that it would keep its three key interest rates unchanged—including the deposit facility rate at 2% and main refinancing operations rate—prompting traders to price no change at 100% implied probability. This decision reflects March Eurozone inflation rising to 2.6% annually from 1.9% in February, balanced against sluggish growth forecasts of 0.9% for 2026, geopolitical shocks like the Iran conflict, and calls from President Lagarde for more data amid uncertainty. Prior meetings in March and February also held steady. With the official outcome confirmed, realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions or resolution disputes over exact rate definitions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日現状維持 100.0%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ <1%
引き上げ <1%
$1,054,199 Vol.
$1,054,199 Vol.
2026/04/30
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
いいえ
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ
いいえ
現状維持
はい
引き上げ
いいえ
現状維持 100.0%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ <1%
引き上げ <1%
$1,054,199 Vol.
$1,054,199 Vol.
2026/04/30
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$173,558 Vol.
いいえ
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ
$144,973 Vol.
いいえ
現状維持
$388,829 Vol.
はい
引き上げ
$346,840 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.The European Central Bank's Governing Council announced on April 30, 2026, that it would keep its three key interest rates unchanged—including the deposit facility rate at 2% and main refinancing operations rate—prompting traders to price no change at 100% implied probability. This decision reflects March Eurozone inflation rising to 2.6% annually from 1.9% in February, balanced against sluggish growth forecasts of 0.9% for 2026, geopolitical shocks like the Iran conflict, and calls from President Lagarde for more data amid uncertainty. Prior meetings in March and February also held steady. With the official outcome confirmed, realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions or resolution disputes over exact rate definitions.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
音量
$1,054,199終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.The European Central Bank's Governing Council announced on April 30, 2026, that it would keep its three key interest rates unchanged—including the deposit facility rate at 2% and main refinancing operations rate—prompting traders to price no change at 100% implied probability. This decision reflects March Eurozone inflation rising to 2.6% annually from 1.9% in February, balanced against sluggish growth forecasts of 0.9% for 2026, geopolitical shocks like the Iran conflict, and calls from President Lagarde for more data amid uncertainty. Prior meetings in March and February also held steady. With the official outcome confirmed, realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions or resolution disputes over exact rate definitions.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
音量
$1,054,199終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The European Central Bank's Governing Council announced on April 30, 2026, that it would keep its three key interest rates unchanged—including the deposit facility rate at 2% and main refinancing operations rate—prompting traders to price no change at 100% implied probability. This decision reflects March Eurozone inflation rising to 2.6% annually from 1.9% in February, balanced against sluggish growth forecasts of 0.9% for 2026, geopolitical shocks like the Iran conflict, and calls from President Lagarde for more data amid uncertainty. Prior meetings in March and February also held steady. With the official outcome confirmed, realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare data revisions or resolution disputes over exact rate definitions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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