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政治·バイデン

Democratic VP nominee?

icon for Democratic VP nominee?
政治·バイデン

Democratic VP nominee?

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 Vol.

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 Vol.

icon for Other Man (Incl. Peters)

Other Man (Incl. Peters)

$5,287,493 Vol.

No

icon for Other Woman

Other Woman

$3,398,043 Vol.

No

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$2,283,640 Vol.

No

icon for Tim Ryan

Tim Ryan

$1,416,479 Vol.

No

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$4,557,221 Vol.

No

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$9,023,366 Vol.

No

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$5,769,374 Vol.

No

icon for Tammy Duckworth

Tammy Duckworth

$1,114,010 Vol.

No

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$4,256,456 Vol.

No

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$1,798,321 Vol.

No

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$6,557,746 Vol.

No

icon for Joe Biden

Joe Biden

$1,726,224 Vol.

No

icon for Elizabeth Warren

Elizabeth Warren

$1,222,768 Vol.

No

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1,303,622 Vol.

No

icon for J. B. Pritzker

J. B. Pritzker

$5,844,374 Vol.

No

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$1,042,389 Vol.

No

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$1,064,503 Vol.

No

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$5,005,051 Vol.

No

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$5,206,054 Vol.

No

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$11,499,090 Vol.

No

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$12,902,914 Vol.

Yes

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$2,344,366 Vol.

No

icon for Tammy Baldwin

Tammy Baldwin

$1,056,841 Vol.

No

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$2,649,254 Vol.

No

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$16,505,097 Vol.

No

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$12,826,516 Vol.

No

icon for William McRaven

William McRaven

$838,220 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Roy Cooper, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Pete Buttigieg, J. B. Prtizker, Mark Cuban, Wes Moore, Barack Obama, Gavin Newsom, Tim Ryan, Joe Biden, Raphael Warnock, William McRaven, or Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Gretchen Whitmer, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Tammy Duckworth, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Tammy Baldwin, or Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Ryan is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Duckworth is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Walz is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Barack Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Baldwin is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if William McRaven is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$128,499,432
終了日
2024/08/22
マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2024, 2:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Roy Cooper, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Pete Buttigieg, J. B. Prtizker, Mark Cuban, Wes Moore, Barack Obama, Gavin Newsom, Tim Ryan, Joe Biden, Raphael Warnock, William McRaven, or Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Gretchen Whitmer, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Tammy Duckworth, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Tammy Baldwin, or Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Ryan is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Duckworth is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Walz is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Barack Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Baldwin is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if William McRaven is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$128,499,432
終了日
2024/08/22
マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2024, 2:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Democratic VP nominee?」はPolymarket上の27個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Tim Walz」で100%、次いで「Other Man (Incl. Peters)」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Democratic VP nominee?」は$128.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 3, 2024のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Democratic VP nominee?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている27個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Democratic VP nominee?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Tim Walz」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Other Man (Incl. Peters)」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Democratic VP nominee?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。