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政治·バイデン

Democratic VP nominee?

Market icon
政治·バイデン

Democratic VP nominee?

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 Vol.

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 Vol.

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Other Man (Incl. Peters)

$5,287,493 Vol.

No

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Other Woman

$3,398,043 Vol.

No

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Mark Cuban

$2,283,640 Vol.

No

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Tim Ryan

$1,416,479 Vol.

No

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Kamala Harris

$4,557,221 Vol.

No

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,023,366 Vol.

No

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Gretchen Whitmer

$5,769,374 Vol.

No

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Tammy Duckworth

$1,114,010 Vol.

No

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Gavin Newsom

$4,256,456 Vol.

No

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Raphael Warnock

$1,798,321 Vol.

No

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Michelle Obama

$6,557,746 Vol.

No

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Joe Biden

$1,726,224 Vol.

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$1,222,768 Vol.

No

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1,303,622 Vol.

No

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J. B. Pritzker

$5,844,374 Vol.

No

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Bernie Sanders

$1,042,389 Vol.

No

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Amy Klobuchar

$1,064,503 Vol.

No

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Hillary Clinton

$5,005,051 Vol.

No

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Roy Cooper

$5,206,054 Vol.

No

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Andy Beshear

$11,499,090 Vol.

No

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Tim Walz

$12,902,914 Vol.

Yes

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Barack Obama

$2,344,366 Vol.

No

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Tammy Baldwin

$1,056,841 Vol.

No

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Wes Moore

$2,649,254 Vol.

No

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Josh Shapiro

$16,505,097 Vol.

No

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Mark Kelly

$12,826,516 Vol.

No

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William McRaven

$838,220 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Roy Cooper, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Pete Buttigieg, J. B. Prtizker, Mark Cuban, Wes Moore, Barack Obama, Gavin Newsom, Tim Ryan, Joe Biden, Raphael Warnock, William McRaven, or Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Gretchen Whitmer, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Tammy Duckworth, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Tammy Baldwin, or Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Ryan is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Duckworth is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Walz is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Barack Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Baldwin is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if William McRaven is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$128,499,432
終了日
Aug 22, 2024
マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2024, 2:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Roy Cooper, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Pete Buttigieg, J. B. Prtizker, Mark Cuban, Wes Moore, Barack Obama, Gavin Newsom, Tim Ryan, Joe Biden, Raphael Warnock, William McRaven, or Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Gretchen Whitmer, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Tammy Duckworth, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Tammy Baldwin, or Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Ryan is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Duckworth is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Walz is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Barack Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Baldwin is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if William McRaven is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Democratic VP nominee?」はPolymarket上の27個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Tim Walz」で100%、次いで「Other Man (Incl. Peters)」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Democratic VP nominee?」は$128.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 3, 2024のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Democratic VP nominee?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている27個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Democratic VP nominee?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Tim Walz」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Other Man (Incl. Peters)」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Democratic VP nominee?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。