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政治·米国選挙

Biden D-Nom replacement?

Market icon
政治·米国選挙

Biden D-Nom replacement?

Kamala Harris 100.0%

Michelle Obama <1%

Hillary Clinton <1%

Wes Moore <1%

Polymarket

$22,561,273 Vol.

Kamala Harris 100.0%

Michelle Obama <1%

Hillary Clinton <1%

Wes Moore <1%

Polymarket

$22,561,273 Vol.

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Kamala Harris

$1,568,672 Vol.

Yes

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Michelle Obama

$1,233,357 Vol.

No

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Hillary Clinton

$982,792 Vol.

No

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Wes Moore

$904,654 Vol.

No

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Pete Buttigieg

$426,398 Vol.

No

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Gretchen Whitmer

$653,406 Vol.

No

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Josh Shapiro

$450,198 Vol.

No

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Gavin Newsom

$509,276 Vol.

No

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Mark Kelly

$432,720 Vol.

No

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Roy Cooper

$307,535 Vol.

No

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J. B. Pritzker

$594,267 Vol.

No

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Andy Beshear

$1,183,012 Vol.

No

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Raphael Warnock

$1,146,612 Vol.

No

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Bernie Sanders

$1,353,141 Vol.

No

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Sherrod Brown

$1,161,078 Vol.

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$980,244 Vol.

No

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Stacey Abrams

$449,731 Vol.

No

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Mark Cuban

$899,685 Vol.

No

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Amy Klobuchar

$1,437,505 Vol.

No

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Robert Kennedy Jr.

$589,866 Vol.

No

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1,112,507 Vol.

No

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Mitt Romney

$1,549,380 Vol.

No

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Joe Manchin

$440,459 Vol.

No

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John Fetterman

$643,493 Vol.

No

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Other Man

$1,263,797 Vol.

No

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Other Woman

$287,487 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sherrod Brown wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stacey Abrams wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitt Romney wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Manchin wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Wes Moore, Pete Buttigieg, Mark Kelly, Robert Kennedy Jr., Gavin Newsom, Mark Cuban, Josh Shapiro, Joe Manchin, Mitt Romney, Roy Cooper, Raphael Warnock, J. B. Pritzker, Andy Beshear, Bernie Sanders, Sherrod Brown, or John Fetterman wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Gretchen Whitmer, Elizabeth Warren, Stacey Abrams, Amy Klobuchar or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sherrod Brown wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stacey Abrams wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitt Romney wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Manchin wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Wes Moore, Pete Buttigieg, Mark Kelly, Robert Kennedy Jr., Gavin Newsom, Mark Cuban, Josh Shapiro, Joe Manchin, Mitt Romney, Roy Cooper, Raphael Warnock, J. B. Pritzker, Andy Beshear, Bernie Sanders, Sherrod Brown, or John Fetterman wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Gretchen Whitmer, Elizabeth Warren, Stacey Abrams, Amy Klobuchar or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Biden D-Nom replacement? 」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「 Kamala Harris」で100%、次いで「 Michelle Obama」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Biden D-Nom replacement? 」は$22.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 21, 2024のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Biden D-Nom replacement? 」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Biden D-Nom replacement? 」の現在のフロントランナーは「 Kamala Harris」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「 Michelle Obama」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Biden D-Nom replacement? 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。