Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans holds Colorado's evenly divided 8th Congressional District after a razor-thin 2024 victory, but trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% amid a robust primary field featuring well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former Rep. Shannon Bird, who have raised over $1 million each through late March. The March 17 filing deadline clarified the contenders, with Rutinel leading Democratic primary odds on related markets, positioning the eventual nominee strongly against Evans despite his cash advantage. Cook Political Report rates it a Toss Up, with historical midterm losses for the president's party and early Democratic targeting by groups like Swing Left bolstering flip prospects ahead of the June 30 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
68%
共和党
32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$319 Vol.
68%
共和党
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans holds Colorado's evenly divided 8th Congressional District after a razor-thin 2024 victory, but trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% amid a robust primary field featuring well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former Rep. Shannon Bird, who have raised over $1 million each through late March. The March 17 filing deadline clarified the contenders, with Rutinel leading Democratic primary odds on related markets, positioning the eventual nominee strongly against Evans despite his cash advantage. Cook Political Report rates it a Toss Up, with historical midterm losses for the president's party and early Democratic targeting by groups like Swing Left bolstering flip prospects ahead of the June 30 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
音量
$319終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans holds Colorado's evenly divided 8th Congressional District after a razor-thin 2024 victory, but trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% amid a robust primary field featuring well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former Rep. Shannon Bird, who have raised over $1 million each through late March. The March 17 filing deadline clarified the contenders, with Rutinel leading Democratic primary odds on related markets, positioning the eventual nominee strongly against Evans despite his cash advantage. Cook Political Report rates it a Toss Up, with historical midterm losses for the president's party and early Democratic targeting by groups like Swing Left bolstering flip prospects ahead of the June 30 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$319終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans holds Colorado's evenly divided 8th Congressional District after a razor-thin 2024 victory, but trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% amid a robust primary field featuring well-funded state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former Rep. Shannon Bird, who have raised over $1 million each through late March. The March 17 filing deadline clarified the contenders, with Rutinel leading Democratic primary odds on related markets, positioning the eventual nominee strongly against Evans despite his cash advantage. Cook Political Report rates it a Toss Up, with historical midterm losses for the president's party and early Democratic targeting by groups like Swing Left bolstering flip prospects ahead of the June 30 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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