Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up battleground rated as such by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans holds a narrow 2024 victory margin of under 1% after Democrat Yadira Caraveo's prior win. Recent consolidation in the June 30 Democratic primary behind state Rep. Manny Rutinel—who leads fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand—has boosted prospects against Evans, whose freshman status and slim hold expose vulnerabilities amid competitive GOP primary challenger Adam DeRito. Internal polls, like Evan Munsing's January survey showing him ahead 47%-44%, underscore Democratic viability in this swing district with key Latino voting blocs, ahead of ballot mailing on June 8.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
68%
共和党
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$319 Vol.
68%
共和党
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up battleground rated as such by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans holds a narrow 2024 victory margin of under 1% after Democrat Yadira Caraveo's prior win. Recent consolidation in the June 30 Democratic primary behind state Rep. Manny Rutinel—who leads fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand—has boosted prospects against Evans, whose freshman status and slim hold expose vulnerabilities amid competitive GOP primary challenger Adam DeRito. Internal polls, like Evan Munsing's January survey showing him ahead 47%-44%, underscore Democratic viability in this swing district with key Latino voting blocs, ahead of ballot mailing on June 8.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
音量
$319終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up battleground rated as such by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans holds a narrow 2024 victory margin of under 1% after Democrat Yadira Caraveo's prior win. Recent consolidation in the June 30 Democratic primary behind state Rep. Manny Rutinel—who leads fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand—has boosted prospects against Evans, whose freshman status and slim hold expose vulnerabilities amid competitive GOP primary challenger Adam DeRito. Internal polls, like Evan Munsing's January survey showing him ahead 47%-44%, underscore Democratic viability in this swing district with key Latino voting blocs, ahead of ballot mailing on June 8.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$319終了日
Nov 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 68% to reclaim Colorado's 8th Congressional District, a toss-up battleground rated as such by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, where Republican incumbent Gabe Evans holds a narrow 2024 victory margin of under 1% after Democrat Yadira Caraveo's prior win. Recent consolidation in the June 30 Democratic primary behind state Rep. Manny Rutinel—who leads fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand—has boosted prospects against Evans, whose freshman status and slim hold expose vulnerabilities amid competitive GOP primary challenger Adam DeRito. Internal polls, like Evan Munsing's January survey showing him ahead 47%-44%, underscore Democratic viability in this swing district with key Latino voting blocs, ahead of ballot mailing on June 8.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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