Trader consensus prices a draw at 70% for Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting the even matchup between evenly rated GMs Matthias Bluebaum (2698) and Andrey Esipenko (2698), with Bluebaum holding white in a double round-robin format where elite classical chess often yields equality through deep opening preparation. Bluebaum's solid 1.0/2 from draws against Wei Yi (Round 1, surprising opening edge) and Sindarov (Round 2) positions him mid-table ahead of Esipenko's shaky 0.5/2 (loss to Sindarov in time trouble, draw versus Nakamura), yet Esipenko's resilience keeps win probabilities balanced near 27.5% each. Bluebaum's superior historical 56.3% score versus the field contrasts Esipenko's 31.8%, but recent solidity favors a drawish outcome absent major errors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko) 90%
Matthias Bluebaum 29%
Andrey Esipenko 28%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
Matthias Bluebaum
29%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko)
70%
Andrey Esipenko
28%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko) 90%
Matthias Bluebaum 29%
Andrey Esipenko 28%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
Matthias Bluebaum
$0 Vol.
29%
Draw (Matthias Bluebaum vs. Andrey Esipenko)
$2 Vol.
70%
Andrey Esipenko
$0 Vol.
28%
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 70% for Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting the even matchup between evenly rated GMs Matthias Bluebaum (2698) and Andrey Esipenko (2698), with Bluebaum holding white in a double round-robin format where elite classical chess often yields equality through deep opening preparation. Bluebaum's solid 1.0/2 from draws against Wei Yi (Round 1, surprising opening edge) and Sindarov (Round 2) positions him mid-table ahead of Esipenko's shaky 0.5/2 (loss to Sindarov in time trouble, draw versus Nakamura), yet Esipenko's resilience keeps win probabilities balanced near 27.5% each. Bluebaum's superior historical 56.3% score versus the field contrasts Esipenko's 31.8%, but recent solidity favors a drawish outcome absent major errors.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET
音量
$2終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 70% for Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting the even matchup between evenly rated GMs Matthias Bluebaum (2698) and Andrey Esipenko (2698), with Bluebaum holding white in a double round-robin format where elite classical chess often yields equality through deep opening preparation. Bluebaum's solid 1.0/2 from draws against Wei Yi (Round 1, surprising opening edge) and Sindarov (Round 2) positions him mid-table ahead of Esipenko's shaky 0.5/2 (loss to Sindarov in time trouble, draw versus Nakamura), yet Esipenko's resilience keeps win probabilities balanced near 27.5% each. Bluebaum's superior historical 56.3% score versus the field contrasts Esipenko's 31.8%, but recent solidity favors a drawish outcome absent major errors.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for March 31, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
音量
$2終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 10:09 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a draw at 70% for Round 3 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting the even matchup between evenly rated GMs Matthias Bluebaum (2698) and Andrey Esipenko (2698), with Bluebaum holding white in a double round-robin format where elite classical chess often yields equality through deep opening preparation. Bluebaum's solid 1.0/2 from draws against Wei Yi (Round 1, surprising opening edge) and Sindarov (Round 2) positions him mid-table ahead of Esipenko's shaky 0.5/2 (loss to Sindarov in time trouble, draw versus Nakamura), yet Esipenko's resilience keeps win probabilities balanced near 27.5% each. Bluebaum's superior historical 56.3% score versus the field contrasts Esipenko's 31.8%, but recent solidity favors a drawish outcome absent major errors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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