The pronounced Democratic tilt of California's 51st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+13, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who has held the seat since 2021 after redistricting, faces only minor opposition in the June 2 top-two primary and no major Republican contender has emerged to contest the general election on November 3. Voter registration advantages and consistent past performance in similar safe Democratic districts reinforce this positioning. Republican chances would require an unusually strong turnout surge or a late primary surprise elevating a stronger candidate, neither of which fundraising or polling trends currently suggest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,026 Vol.
$25,026 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$25,026 Vol.
$25,026 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,046 Vol.
95%
共和党
$11,979 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic tilt of California's 51st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+13, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who has held the seat since 2021 after redistricting, faces only minor opposition in the June 2 top-two primary and no major Republican contender has emerged to contest the general election on November 3. Voter registration advantages and consistent past performance in similar safe Democratic districts reinforce this positioning. Republican chances would require an unusually strong turnout surge or a late primary surprise elevating a stronger candidate, neither of which fundraising or polling trends currently suggest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$25,026終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic tilt of California's 51st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+13, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who has held the seat since 2021 after redistricting, faces only minor opposition in the June 2 top-two primary and no major Republican contender has emerged to contest the general election on November 3. Voter registration advantages and consistent past performance in similar safe Democratic districts reinforce this positioning. Republican chances would require an unusually strong turnout surge or a late primary surprise elevating a stronger candidate, neither of which fundraising or polling trends currently suggest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,026終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The pronounced Democratic tilt of California's 51st congressional district, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+13, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee for the 2026 House election. Incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs, who has held the seat since 2021 after redistricting, faces only minor opposition in the June 2 top-two primary and no major Republican contender has emerged to contest the general election on November 3. Voter registration advantages and consistent past performance in similar safe Democratic districts reinforce this positioning. Republican chances would require an unusually strong turnout surge or a late primary surprise elevating a stronger candidate, neither of which fundraising or polling trends currently suggest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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