California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County, maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results. Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 78% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and one Republican before the November general. High Democratic voter registration, diverse urban demographics, and limited Republican infrastructure in the seat underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift, major unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or dramatic turnout reversal, none of which appear imminent given structural factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$381 Vol.
94%
共和党
$312 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County, maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results. Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 78% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and one Republican before the November general. High Democratic voter registration, diverse urban demographics, and limited Republican infrastructure in the seat underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift, major unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or dramatic turnout reversal, none of which appear imminent given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$693終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County, maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results. Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 78% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and one Republican before the November general. High Democratic voter registration, diverse urban demographics, and limited Republican infrastructure in the seat underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift, major unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or dramatic turnout reversal, none of which appear imminent given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$693終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles County, maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent past results. Incumbent Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 78% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and one Republican before the November general. High Democratic voter registration, diverse urban demographics, and limited Republican infrastructure in the seat underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift, major unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or dramatic turnout reversal, none of which appear imminent given structural factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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