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Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory

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Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory

Gallego by 2-3%  100.0%

Gallego by 3% or more <1%

Gallego by 1-2%  <1%

Gallego by 0-1%  <1%

Polymarket

$9,130,585 Vol.

Gallego by 2-3%  100.0%

Gallego by 3% or more <1%

Gallego by 1-2%  <1%

Gallego by 0-1%  <1%

Polymarket

$9,130,585 Vol.

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Gallego by 3% or more

$441,995 Vol.

No

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Gallego by 2-3%

$379,438 Vol.

Yes

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Gallego by 1-2%

$397,555 Vol.

No

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Gallego by 0-1%

$340,190 Vol.

No

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Lake by 0-1%

$1,274,812 Vol.

No

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Lake by 1-2%

$2,176,071 Vol.

No

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Lake by 2% or more

$4,120,525 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by 3.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 2.0% (inclusive) and 3.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 1.0% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 0% (inclusive) and 1.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kari Lake wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 0% (exclusive) and 1.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Kari Lake and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kari Lake wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 1.0% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Kari Lake and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by 3.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race.

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
音量
$9,130,585
終了日
2024/12/17
マーケット開始日
Nov 8, 2024, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by 3.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by 3.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 2.0% (inclusive) and 3.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 1.0% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 0% (inclusive) and 1.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kari Lake wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 0% (exclusive) and 1.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Kari Lake and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kari Lake wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 1.0% (inclusive) and 2.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Kari Lake and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by 3.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race.

If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
音量
$9,130,585
終了日
2024/12/17
マーケット開始日
Nov 8, 2024, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by 3.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Gallego by 2-3% 」で100%、次いで「Gallego by 3% or more」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory」は$9.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 8, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory」の現在のフロントランナーは「Gallego by 2-3% 」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Gallego by 3% or more」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Arizona Senate Election Margin of Victory」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。