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archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

Market icon

archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$122,601 Vol.

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$122,601 Vol.

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

"A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage.

A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$122,601
終了日
2025/11/21
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

"A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage.

A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$122,601
終了日
2025/11/21
マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
On November 18, massive internet service outages were reported by Cloudflare affecting a wide variety of popular services, including X, ChatGPT, and others. You can read more about that here: https://www.independent.co.uk/tech/cloudflare-down-twitter-not-working-outage-b2867367.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is discovered that the mentioned November 18, 2025 outages were caused by a hack, and that that hack was perpetrated by a state actor, by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. "A hack" encompasses intentional, malicious activity which caused the outage. A "state actor" is defined as an entity whose actions are legally or politically attributable to a sovereign state. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from relevant companies and governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?」は$122.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。