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Another record low Biden approval rating in June?

Market icon

Another record low Biden approval rating in June?

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$914 Vol.

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$914 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$914
終了日
2024/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2024, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$914
終了日
2024/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2024, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Another record low Biden approval rating in June?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Another record low Biden approval rating in June?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 10, 2024開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Another record low Biden approval rating in June?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Another record low Biden approval rating in June?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Another record low Biden approval rating in June?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。