$480,466 Vol.
$480,466 Vol.
Feb 28, 2025
On February 17, Delta Air Lines Flight 4819, crashed while landing with all 80 people on board evacuated (see: https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents#Top)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FAA reports an incident on a commercial flight resulting in an evacuation between February 18, and February 28, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any incident dated to the listed range on https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents will qualify.
Only incidents which result in an evacuation as described by the FAA, or in which passengers were forced to exit the aircraft in in an unconventional manner (e.g. using slides, while on the runway, etc.) qualify.
The resolution source will be the FAA, specifically https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidentsOn February 17, Delta Air Lines Flight 4819, crashed while landing with all 80 people on board evacuated (see: https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents#Top)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FAA reports an incident on a commercial flight resulting in an evacuation between February 18, and February 28, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any incident dated to the listed range on https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents will qualify.
Only incidents which result in an evacuation as described by the FAA, or in which passengers were forced to exit the aircraft in in an unconventional manner (e.g. using slides, while on the runway, etc.) qualify.
The resolution source will be the FAA, specifically https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FAA reports an incident on a commercial flight resulting in an evacuation between February 18, and February 28, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any incident dated to the listed range on https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents will qualify.
Only incidents which result in an evacuation as described by the FAA, or in which passengers were forced to exit the aircraft in in an unconventional manner (e.g. using slides, while on the runway, etc.) qualify.
The resolution source will be the FAA, specifically https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents
作成日: Feb 24, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$480,466終了日
Feb 28, 2025作成日時
Feb 24, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: No
異議申し立て
提案された結果: No
異議申し立て
最終結果: No
$480,466 Vol.
$480,466 Vol.
Feb 28, 2025
On February 17, Delta Air Lines Flight 4819, crashed while landing with all 80 people on board evacuated (see: https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents#Top)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FAA reports an incident on a commercial flight resulting in an evacuation between February 18, and February 28, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any incident dated to the listed range on https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents will qualify.
Only incidents which result in an evacuation as described by the FAA, or in which passengers were forced to exit the aircraft in in an unconventional manner (e.g. using slides, while on the runway, etc.) qualify.
The resolution source will be the FAA, specifically https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidentsOn February 17, Delta Air Lines Flight 4819, crashed while landing with all 80 people on board evacuated (see: https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents#Top)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FAA reports an incident on a commercial flight resulting in an evacuation between February 18, and February 28, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any incident dated to the listed range on https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents will qualify.
Only incidents which result in an evacuation as described by the FAA, or in which passengers were forced to exit the aircraft in in an unconventional manner (e.g. using slides, while on the runway, etc.) qualify.
The resolution source will be the FAA, specifically https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FAA reports an incident on a commercial flight resulting in an evacuation between February 18, and February 28, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any incident dated to the listed range on https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents will qualify.
Only incidents which result in an evacuation as described by the FAA, or in which passengers were forced to exit the aircraft in in an unconventional manner (e.g. using slides, while on the runway, etc.) qualify.
The resolution source will be the FAA, specifically https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/statements/accident_incidents
音量
$480,466終了日
Feb 28, 2025作成日時
Feb 24, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: No
異議申し立て
提案された結果: No
異議申し立て
最終結果: No
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Another commercial airline evacuation before March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Another commercial airline evacuation before March?" has generated $480.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Another commercial airline evacuation before March?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Another commercial airline evacuation before March?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Another commercial airline evacuation before March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions