Traders assign Amouranth a 95.5% implied probability of remaining legally married past the June 30 cutoff due to repeated public disputes with Nick Lee that have produced no court filings or decrees. Heated exchanges in 2025 and a February 2026 Peru hotel clash generated separation threats, yet the couple's status shows no formal separation or uncontested filing that would allow a final decree in the remaining window. Divorce proceedings typically require documented petitions, mandatory waiting periods, and judicial approval, none of which appear on record. A sudden expedited ruling or undisclosed prior paperwork could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability developments given the compressed timeline and lack of confirmed legal movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$10,985 Vol.
$10,985 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$10,985 Vol.
$10,985 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kaitlyn Siragusa (known as Amouranth) is legally divorced from her husband, Nick Lee, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A final divorce decree or equivalent court order issued by a competent jurisdiction by the specified date will be required for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of any prior announcements of intention to divorce or separations.
The primary resolution source will be public court records from the relevant jurisdiction. A consensus of credible media reporting confirming the existence of such a decree may also be used.
Personal statements, social media posts, or announcements by Amouranth, Nick Lee, or their representatives will not be sufficient on their own for resolution.Traders assign Amouranth a 95.5% implied probability of remaining legally married past the June 30 cutoff due to repeated public disputes with Nick Lee that have produced no court filings or decrees. Heated exchanges in 2025 and a February 2026 Peru hotel clash generated separation threats, yet the couple's status shows no formal separation or uncontested filing that would allow a final decree in the remaining window. Divorce proceedings typically require documented petitions, mandatory waiting periods, and judicial approval, none of which appear on record. A sudden expedited ruling or undisclosed prior paperwork could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability developments given the compressed timeline and lack of confirmed legal movement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kaitlyn Siragusa (known as Amouranth) is legally divorced from her husband, Nick Lee, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A final divorce decree or equivalent court order issued by a competent jurisdiction by the specified date will be required for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of any prior announcements of intention to divorce or separations.
The primary resolution source will be public court records from the relevant jurisdiction. A consensus of credible media reporting confirming the existence of such a decree may also be used.
Personal statements, social media posts, or announcements by Amouranth, Nick Lee, or their representatives will not be sufficient on their own for resolution.
A final divorce decree or equivalent court order issued by a competent jurisdiction by the specified date will be required for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of any prior announcements of intention to divorce or separations.
The primary resolution source will be public court records from the relevant jurisdiction. A consensus of credible media reporting confirming the existence of such a decree may also be used.
Personal statements, social media posts, or announcements by Amouranth, Nick Lee, or their representatives will not be sufficient on their own for resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
音量
$10,985終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kaitlyn Siragusa (known as Amouranth) is legally divorced from her husband, Nick Lee, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A final divorce decree or equivalent court order issued by a competent jurisdiction by the specified date will be required for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of any prior announcements of intention to divorce or separations.
The primary resolution source will be public court records from the relevant jurisdiction. A consensus of credible media reporting confirming the existence of such a decree may also be used.
Personal statements, social media posts, or announcements by Amouranth, Nick Lee, or their representatives will not be sufficient on their own for resolution.Traders assign Amouranth a 95.5% implied probability of remaining legally married past the June 30 cutoff due to repeated public disputes with Nick Lee that have produced no court filings or decrees. Heated exchanges in 2025 and a February 2026 Peru hotel clash generated separation threats, yet the couple's status shows no formal separation or uncontested filing that would allow a final decree in the remaining window. Divorce proceedings typically require documented petitions, mandatory waiting periods, and judicial approval, none of which appear on record. A sudden expedited ruling or undisclosed prior paperwork could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability developments given the compressed timeline and lack of confirmed legal movement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kaitlyn Siragusa (known as Amouranth) is legally divorced from her husband, Nick Lee, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A final divorce decree or equivalent court order issued by a competent jurisdiction by the specified date will be required for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of any prior announcements of intention to divorce or separations.
The primary resolution source will be public court records from the relevant jurisdiction. A consensus of credible media reporting confirming the existence of such a decree may also be used.
Personal statements, social media posts, or announcements by Amouranth, Nick Lee, or their representatives will not be sufficient on their own for resolution.
A final divorce decree or equivalent court order issued by a competent jurisdiction by the specified date will be required for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of any prior announcements of intention to divorce or separations.
The primary resolution source will be public court records from the relevant jurisdiction. A consensus of credible media reporting confirming the existence of such a decree may also be used.
Personal statements, social media posts, or announcements by Amouranth, Nick Lee, or their representatives will not be sufficient on their own for resolution.
音量
$10,985終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign Amouranth a 95.5% implied probability of remaining legally married past the June 30 cutoff due to repeated public disputes with Nick Lee that have produced no court filings or decrees. Heated exchanges in 2025 and a February 2026 Peru hotel clash generated separation threats, yet the couple's status shows no formal separation or uncontested filing that would allow a final decree in the remaining window. Divorce proceedings typically require documented petitions, mandatory waiting periods, and judicial approval, none of which appear on record. A sudden expedited ruling or undisclosed prior paperwork could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability developments given the compressed timeline and lack of confirmed legal movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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