President Trump's April 2026 budget request seeks $152 million for the first year of restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison, building on his May 2025 directive to the Bureau of Prisons, DOJ, FBI, and DHS to rebuild the site for violent offenders. The proposal requires congressional appropriations for the 2027 fiscal year and faces substantial barriers, including local opposition in San Francisco, the island's current status as a National Park Service tourist site, extensive renovation needs, and logistical challenges. No funding has been approved, and the timeline for any operational reopening extends well beyond 2026 even under optimistic scenarios. These factors sustain trader consensus on a low likelihood of completion by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 2026 budget request seeks $152 million for the first year of restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison, building on his May 2025 directive to the Bureau of Prisons, DOJ, FBI, and DHS to rebuild the site for violent offenders. The proposal requires congressional appropriations for the 2027 fiscal year and faces substantial barriers, including local opposition in San Francisco, the island's current status as a National Park Service tourist site, extensive renovation needs, and logistical challenges. No funding has been approved, and the timeline for any operational reopening extends well beyond 2026 even under optimistic scenarios. These factors sustain trader consensus on a low likelihood of completion by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
音量
$1,152終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 2026 budget request seeks $152 million for the first year of restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison, building on his May 2025 directive to the Bureau of Prisons, DOJ, FBI, and DHS to rebuild the site for violent offenders. The proposal requires congressional appropriations for the 2027 fiscal year and faces substantial barriers, including local opposition in San Francisco, the island's current status as a National Park Service tourist site, extensive renovation needs, and logistical challenges. No funding has been approved, and the timeline for any operational reopening extends well beyond 2026 even under optimistic scenarios. These factors sustain trader consensus on a low likelihood of completion by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,152終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 2026 budget request seeks $152 million for the first year of restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison, building on his May 2025 directive to the Bureau of Prisons, DOJ, FBI, and DHS to rebuild the site for violent offenders. The proposal requires congressional appropriations for the 2027 fiscal year and faces substantial barriers, including local opposition in San Francisco, the island's current status as a National Park Service tourist site, extensive renovation needs, and logistical challenges. No funding has been approved, and the timeline for any operational reopening extends well beyond 2026 even under optimistic scenarios. These factors sustain trader consensus on a low likelihood of completion by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問