President Trump's April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison represents the primary recent development, following his May 2025 directive to agencies including the Bureau of Prisons and DOJ. The proposal requires congressional appropriations and faces substantial logistical hurdles, including the island's deteriorated infrastructure, National Park Service oversight, and local opposition. No funding has been enacted, construction has not commenced, and historical timelines for similar federal prison projects indicate that full reopening within 2026 remains improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent "No" probability aligns with these procedural and practical constraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison represents the primary recent development, following his May 2025 directive to agencies including the Bureau of Prisons and DOJ. The proposal requires congressional appropriations and faces substantial logistical hurdles, including the island's deteriorated infrastructure, National Park Service oversight, and local opposition. No funding has been enacted, construction has not commenced, and historical timelines for similar federal prison projects indicate that full reopening within 2026 remains improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent "No" probability aligns with these procedural and practical constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
音量
$1,152終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison represents the primary recent development, following his May 2025 directive to agencies including the Bureau of Prisons and DOJ. The proposal requires congressional appropriations and faces substantial logistical hurdles, including the island's deteriorated infrastructure, National Park Service oversight, and local opposition. No funding has been enacted, construction has not commenced, and historical timelines for similar federal prison projects indicate that full reopening within 2026 remains improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent "No" probability aligns with these procedural and practical constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,152終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 2026 budget request for $152 million to begin restoring Alcatraz as a federal prison represents the primary recent development, following his May 2025 directive to agencies including the Bureau of Prisons and DOJ. The proposal requires congressional appropriations and faces substantial logistical hurdles, including the island's deteriorated infrastructure, National Park Service oversight, and local opposition. No funding has been enacted, construction has not commenced, and historical timelines for similar federal prison projects indicate that full reopening within 2026 remains improbable. Trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent "No" probability aligns with these procedural and practical constraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問