Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $190 on March 29, reflecting optimism from the stock's recent rally above $185 amid strong iPhone 16 cycle anticipation and services revenue growth hitting 11% YoY in Q1 fiscal 2024 earnings. Current trader consensus weighs AI integration rumors boosting premium device demand against China sales softness, down 11% last quarter per official filings. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision potentially pressuring tech valuations if hawkish, with AAPL's 30x forward P/E vulnerable to 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3%. Watch March 28 CPI data for macro catalysts; historical March closes average +2% for AAPL post-earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$260,624 Vol.
210ドル
98%
220ドル
94%
230ドル
95%
$240
81%
250ドル
52%
$260
25%
270ドル
10%
$280
3%
$290
2%
$300
2%
$310
2%
$320
2%
$330
1%
$260,624 Vol.
210ドル
98%
220ドル
94%
230ドル
95%
$240
81%
250ドル
52%
$260
25%
270ドル
10%
$280
3%
$290
2%
$300
2%
$310
2%
$320
2%
$330
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $190 on March 29, reflecting optimism from the stock's recent rally above $185 amid strong iPhone 16 cycle anticipation and services revenue growth hitting 11% YoY in Q1 fiscal 2024 earnings. Current trader consensus weighs AI integration rumors boosting premium device demand against China sales softness, down 11% last quarter per official filings. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision potentially pressuring tech valuations if hawkish, with AAPL's 30x forward P/E vulnerable to 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3%. Watch March 28 CPI data for macro catalysts; historical March closes average +2% for AAPL post-earnings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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