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政治·トランプ

4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets

Market icon
政治·トランプ

4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets

$49,694 Vol.

Dec 6, 2023
Polymarket

$49,694 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Trump said by every candidate

$3,774 Vol.

Yes

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Biden said by every candidate

$3,348 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Putin said by every candidate

$2,329 Vol.

No

Market icon

Hamas 10 or more times

$22,680 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Israel 20 or more times

$5,443 Vol.

No

Market icon

Israel 10 or more times

$1,948 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Terrorist 10 or more times

$4,222 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Ukraine 8 or more times

$789 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Ceasefire 5 or more times

$1,224 Vol.

No

Market icon

Alien

$1,916 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

George Santos

$2,021 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Biden" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Putin" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Hamas" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 20 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "terrorist" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Ukraine" is said 8 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Ukrainian" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "ceasefire" is said 5 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "alien" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "George Santos" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market the terms "George" or "Santos" alone will trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market, but only if they directly refer to ex-congressman George Santos. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count.

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$49,694
終了日
Dec 6, 2023
マーケット開始日
Dec 6, 2023, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Trump" or "trump" is said at least once by every invited candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Mentions of the word trump need not specifically refer to any individual. For example if a candidate says "My policies trump his!" it will count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Biden" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Putin" is said at least once by every participating candidate during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Hamas" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 20 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Israel" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Israeli" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "terrorist" is said 10 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Ukraine" is said 8 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, the demonym "Ukrainian" will also count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if "ceasefire" is said 5 or more times by the invited candidates (in total) during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "alien" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any invited candidate says "George Santos" during the RNC primary debate scheduled for December 6, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market the terms "George" or "Santos" alone will trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market, but only if they directly refer to ex-congressman George Santos. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered. If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond December 12, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Trump said by every candidate」で100%、次いで「Biden said by every candidate」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets」は$49.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 6, 2023のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets」の現在のフロントランナーは「Trump said by every candidate」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Biden said by every candidate」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4th GOP Debate: Mention Markets」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。