With the 2026 NCAA Tournament down to the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested Final Four path dominated by Big Ten powerhouses and battle-tested top seeds, as Arizona (27.4%) edges Michigan and Duke (both 22.5%) after its dominant Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing selfless team play without a singular star. Michigan's emphatic blowout of Alabama underscores its depth, while Duke's gritty comeback from 10 down against St. John's highlights resilience amid injuries. Illinois (11.7%) gains traction in a favorable Iowa matchup, but Purdue (5.5%), UConn (5%), and Tennessee (2.6%) face steep hurdles in a bracket rife with upsets, rest advantages, and head-to-head familiarity keeping implied probabilities bunched and volatile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日アリゾナ 27.8%
ミシガン 24%
デューク 23%
イリノイ 12.8%
$22,397,847 Vol.
$22,397,847 Vol.
アリゾナ
28%
ミシガン
24%
デューク
23%
イリノイ
13%
パデュー大学
6%
コネチカット
5%
アイオワ
3%
テネシー
3%
アリゾナ 27.8%
ミシガン 24%
デューク 23%
イリノイ 12.8%
$22,397,847 Vol.
$22,397,847 Vol.
アリゾナ
28%
ミシガン
24%
デューク
23%
イリノイ
13%
パデュー大学
6%
コネチカット
5%
アイオワ
3%
テネシー
3%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
マーケット開始日: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the 2026 NCAA Tournament down to the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested Final Four path dominated by Big Ten powerhouses and battle-tested top seeds, as Arizona (27.4%) edges Michigan and Duke (both 22.5%) after its dominant Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing selfless team play without a singular star. Michigan's emphatic blowout of Alabama underscores its depth, while Duke's gritty comeback from 10 down against St. John's highlights resilience amid injuries. Illinois (11.7%) gains traction in a favorable Iowa matchup, but Purdue (5.5%), UConn (5%), and Tennessee (2.6%) face steep hurdles in a bracket rife with upsets, rest advantages, and head-to-head familiarity keeping implied probabilities bunched and volatile.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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