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スポーツ·NCAA

2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者

Market icon
スポーツ·NCAA

2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者

アリゾナ 28.4%

ミシガン 23%

デューク 22%

イリノイ 16.3%

Polymarket

$22,436,473 Vol.

アリゾナ 28.4%

ミシガン 23%

デューク 22%

イリノイ 16.3%

Polymarket

$22,436,473 Vol.

アリゾナ

$1,135,913 Vol.

28%

ミシガン

$1,068,165 Vol.

23%

デューク

$951,971 Vol.

22%

イリノイ

$1,369,659 Vol.

16%

パデュー大学

$3,328,454 Vol.

5%

コネチカット

$2,408,566 Vol.

5%

テネシー

$1,099,835 Vol.

2%

アイオワ

$995,704 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Three No. 1 regional seeds—Arizona (West), Michigan (Midwest), and Duke (East)—have powered into the Elite Eight of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, fueling trader consensus that bunches their implied probabilities tightly at 30%, 24%, and 22%, with Illinois (16%) as the top longshot challenger. Arizona surged to the lead after dominant Sweet 16 and earlier tournament wins showcasing elite defense and depth, while Michigan's frontcourt size overwhelmed opponents in blowouts. Duke advanced resiliently despite a shaky first-round escape against Siena and injury concerns, but close games highlighted vulnerabilities. Big Ten strength persists with Illinois facing ninth-seeded Iowa today and Purdue lurking against Arizona, underscoring upset potential and path difficulty to the Final Four in a chaos-filled March Madness.

Three No. 1 regional seeds—Arizona (West), Michigan (Midwest), and Duke (East)—have powered into the Elite Eight of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, fueling trader consensus that bunches their implied probabilities tightly at 30%, 24%, and 22%, with Illinois (16%) as the top longshot challenger. Arizona surged to the lead after dominant Sweet 16 and earlier tournament wins showcasing elite defense and depth, while Michigan's frontcourt size overwhelmed opponents in blowouts. Duke advanced resiliently despite a shaky first-round escape against Siena and injury concerns, but close games highlighted vulnerabilities. Big Ten strength persists with Illinois facing ninth-seeded Iowa today and Purdue lurking against Arizona, underscoring upset potential and path difficulty to the Final Four in a chaos-filled March Madness.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.Three No. 1 regional seeds—Arizona (West), Michigan (Midwest), and Duke (East)—have powered into the Elite Eight of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, fueling trader consensus that bunches their implied probabilities tightly at 30%, 24%, and 22%, with Illinois (16%) as the top longshot challenger. Arizona surged to the lead after dominant Sweet 16 and earlier tournament wins showcasing elite defense and depth, while Michigan's frontcourt size overwhelmed opponents in blowouts. Duke advanced resiliently despite a shaky first-round escape against Siena and injury concerns, but close games highlighted vulnerabilities. Big Ten strength persists with Illinois facing ninth-seeded Iowa today and Purdue lurking against Arizona, underscoring upset potential and path difficulty to the Final Four in a chaos-filled March Madness.

Three No. 1 regional seeds—Arizona (West), Michigan (Midwest), and Duke (East)—have powered into the Elite Eight of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, fueling trader consensus that bunches their implied probabilities tightly at 30%, 24%, and 22%, with Illinois (16%) as the top longshot challenger. Arizona surged to the lead after dominant Sweet 16 and earlier tournament wins showcasing elite defense and depth, while Michigan's frontcourt size overwhelmed opponents in blowouts. Duke advanced resiliently despite a shaky first-round escape against Siena and injury concerns, but close games highlighted vulnerabilities. Big Ten strength persists with Illinois facing ninth-seeded Iowa today and Purdue lurking against Arizona, underscoring upset potential and path difficulty to the Final Four in a chaos-filled March Madness.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」はPolymarket上の70+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アリゾナ」で28%、次いで「ミシガン」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」は$22.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 31, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている70+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アリゾナ」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ミシガン」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年NCAAトーナメント優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。