With the 48-team field finalized after March 31 playoffs, trader consensus clusters around traditional powerhouses amid razor-thin FIFA rankings—France at No. 1 (1877 points), Spain No. 2 (1876), Argentina No. 3 (1875)—reflecting qualification dominance and parity that keeps probabilities bunched under 16%. Spain leads implied odds on Euro 2024 title momentum, flawless UEFA qualifiers, and favorable group draw despite a recent 0-0 friendly draw against Egypt costing the top ranking. France surges via Mbappé-led form, England leverages depth, while Argentina and Brazil ride Messi legacy and CONMEBOL grit; minor injuries like Raphinha's sideline concerns add volatility in the expanded format's longer knockout path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スペイン 15.7%
フランス 13.6%
イングランド 11.5%
アルゼンチン 9.2%
$498,285,204 Vol.
$498,285,204 Vol.
2026/07/20
スペイン
16%
フランス
14%
イングランド
11%
アルゼンチン
9%
ブラジル
9%
ポルトガル
7%
ドイツ
5%
オランダ
3%
ノルウェー
3%
日本
2%
ベルギー
2%
モロッコ
2%
コロンビア
2%
アメリカ
1%
ウルグアイ
1%
メキシコ
1%
クロアチア
1%
スイス
1%
エクアドル
1%
トルコ
1%
セネガル
1%
スウェーデン
1%
カナダ
1%
オーストリア
1%
韓国
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
<1%
パラグアイ
<1%
スコットランド
<1%
コートジボワール
<1%
エジプト
<1%
ガーナ
<1%
アルジェリア
<1%
チュニジア
<1%
チェジア
<1%
オーストラリア
<1%
サウジアラビア
<1%
ニュージーランド
<1%
ハイチ
<1%
ヨルダン
<1%
キュラソー
<1%
イラン
<1%
ウズベキスタン
<1%
パナマ
<1%
イラク
<1%
南アフリカ
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
<1%
カーボベルデ
<1%
カタール
<1%
スペイン 15.7%
フランス 13.6%
イングランド 11.5%
アルゼンチン 9.2%
$498,285,204 Vol.
$498,285,204 Vol.
2026/07/20
スペイン
$8,746,639 Vol.
16%
フランス
$7,197,396 Vol.
14%
イングランド
$8,561,059 Vol.
11%
アルゼンチン
$8,188,831 Vol.
9%
ブラジル
$8,393,894 Vol.
9%
ポルトガル
$9,225,670 Vol.
7%
ドイツ
$7,663,869 Vol.
5%
オランダ
$9,757,953 Vol.
3%
ノルウェー
$8,644,552 Vol.
3%
日本
$10,583,947 Vol.
2%
ベルギー
$8,326,152 Vol.
2%
モロッコ
$10,099,035 Vol.
2%
コロンビア
$7,662,981 Vol.
2%
アメリカ
$5,910,968 Vol.
1%
ウルグアイ
$8,678,742 Vol.
1%
メキシコ
$7,410,920 Vol.
1%
クロアチア
$8,337,006 Vol.
1%
スイス
$9,180,582 Vol.
1%
エクアドル
$9,503,325 Vol.
1%
トルコ
$1,122,753 Vol.
1%
セネガル
$9,074,579 Vol.
1%
スウェーデン
$906,403 Vol.
1%
カナダ
$12,167,103 Vol.
1%
オーストリア
$11,111,515 Vol.
1%
韓国
$14,543,619 Vol.
<1%
ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ
$1,057,596 Vol.
<1%
パラグアイ
$12,642,014 Vol.
<1%
スコットランド
$12,865,924 Vol.
<1%
コートジボワール
$9,974,972 Vol.
<1%
エジプト
$11,679,816 Vol.
<1%
ガーナ
$11,252,785 Vol.
<1%
アルジェリア
$11,746,402 Vol.
<1%
チュニジア
$12,041,660 Vol.
<1%
チェジア
$438,607 Vol.
<1%
オーストラリア
$8,811,776 Vol.
<1%
サウジアラビア
$18,342,346 Vol.
<1%
ニュージーランド
$18,038,192 Vol.
<1%
ハイチ
$13,290,753 Vol.
<1%
ヨルダン
$17,305,704 Vol.
<1%
キュラソー
$25,286,903 Vol.
<1%
イラン
$12,312,583 Vol.
<1%
ウズベキスタン
$28,524,908 Vol.
<1%
パナマ
$1,913,832 Vol.
<1%
イラク
$2,555,913 Vol.
<1%
南アフリカ
$20,375,793 Vol.
<1%
コンゴ民主共和国
$2,353,862 Vol.
<1%
カーボベルデ
$11,281,028 Vol.
<1%
カタール
$14,289,422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 48-team field finalized after March 31 playoffs, trader consensus clusters around traditional powerhouses amid razor-thin FIFA rankings—France at No. 1 (1877 points), Spain No. 2 (1876), Argentina No. 3 (1875)—reflecting qualification dominance and parity that keeps probabilities bunched under 16%. Spain leads implied odds on Euro 2024 title momentum, flawless UEFA qualifiers, and favorable group draw despite a recent 0-0 friendly draw against Egypt costing the top ranking. France surges via Mbappé-led form, England leverages depth, while Argentina and Brazil ride Messi legacy and CONMEBOL grit; minor injuries like Raphinha's sideline concerns add volatility in the expanded format's longer knockout path.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$498,285,204終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 48-team field finalized after March 31 playoffs, trader consensus clusters around traditional powerhouses amid razor-thin FIFA rankings—France at No. 1 (1877 points), Spain No. 2 (1876), Argentina No. 3 (1875)—reflecting qualification dominance and parity that keeps probabilities bunched under 16%. Spain leads implied odds on Euro 2024 title momentum, flawless UEFA qualifiers, and favorable group draw despite a recent 0-0 friendly draw against Egypt costing the top ranking. France surges via Mbappé-led form, England leverages depth, while Argentina and Brazil ride Messi legacy and CONMEBOL grit; minor injuries like Raphinha's sideline concerns add volatility in the expanded format's longer knockout path.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$498,285,204終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the 48-team field finalized after March 31 playoffs, trader consensus clusters around traditional powerhouses amid razor-thin FIFA rankings—France at No. 1 (1877 points), Spain No. 2 (1876), Argentina No. 3 (1875)—reflecting qualification dominance and parity that keeps probabilities bunched under 16%. Spain leads implied odds on Euro 2024 title momentum, flawless UEFA qualifiers, and favorable group draw despite a recent 0-0 friendly draw against Egypt costing the top ranking. France surges via Mbappé-led form, England leverages depth, while Argentina and Brazil ride Messi legacy and CONMEBOL grit; minor injuries like Raphinha's sideline concerns add volatility in the expanded format's longer knockout path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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