Anna Muzychuk's surge to sole first place at 4/7 in the ongoing FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, held in Cyprus through April 16, anchors trader consensus at 46% implied probability for Other including her, boosted by her round-6 upset win over top seed Zhu Jiner (2578 Elo) after entering as a late replacement for Koneru Humpy's withdrawal. Zhu Jiner holds 21% as the highest-rated contender despite the setback, reflecting her Grand Prix victory qualification and prior form, while Aleksandra Goryachkina (16%) and Kateryna Lagno (14%) remain competitive on 3 points each in the double round-robin classical format, with unbeaten streaks and strong head-to-heads. Indian qualifiers Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu gained momentum via recent victories, tightening the chase among the eight contenders for the Women's World Championship challenger spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日その他(アンナ・ムジチュクを含む) 42%
Zhu Jiner 22%
Aleksandra Goryachkina 16%
Kateryna Lagno 14%
その他(アンナ・ムジチュクを含む)
42%
Zhu Jiner
22%
Aleksandra Goryachkina
16%
Kateryna Lagno
14%
Bibisara Assaubayeva
8%
Tan Zhongyi
5%
Vaishali R
5%
Divya Deshmukh
4%
その他(アンナ・ムジチュクを含む) 42%
Zhu Jiner 22%
Aleksandra Goryachkina 16%
Kateryna Lagno 14%
その他(アンナ・ムジチュクを含む)
42%
Zhu Jiner
22%
Aleksandra Goryachkina
16%
Kateryna Lagno
14%
Bibisara Assaubayeva
8%
Tan Zhongyi
5%
Vaishali R
5%
Divya Deshmukh
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Women’s Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anna Muzychuk's surge to sole first place at 4/7 in the ongoing FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament 2026, held in Cyprus through April 16, anchors trader consensus at 46% implied probability for Other including her, boosted by her round-6 upset win over top seed Zhu Jiner (2578 Elo) after entering as a late replacement for Koneru Humpy's withdrawal. Zhu Jiner holds 21% as the highest-rated contender despite the setback, reflecting her Grand Prix victory qualification and prior form, while Aleksandra Goryachkina (16%) and Kateryna Lagno (14%) remain competitive on 3 points each in the double round-robin classical format, with unbeaten streaks and strong head-to-heads. Indian qualifiers Divya Deshmukh and Vaishali Rameshbabu gained momentum via recent victories, tightening the chase among the eight contenders for the Women's World Championship challenger spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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