Mercedes' overwhelming dominance with the superior 2026 power unit and chassis under new active aero regulations has vaulted George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli to the top of the drivers' standings after three Grands Prix, positioning them as clear trader favorites at 46.5% and 31.8% implied probabilities. Antonelli's back-to-back victories in China and Japan—capped by pole-to-flag at Suzuka—propelled him past Russell into the points lead at 72-63, showcasing his rapid adaptation. However, Russell retains consensus favoritism due to his experience, six career wins, and frustration over bad-luck safety car timing costing him a potential Japan podium, with traders anticipating his rebound in the team's pacesetting package amid Red Bull's qualifying woes and Verstappen's P6/DNF start sidelining other contenders like Leclerc.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ジョージ・ラッセル 47%
キミ・アントネッリ 31.8%
シャルル・ルクレール 5.3%
オスカー・ピアストリ 4.5%
$71,517,562 Vol.
$71,517,562 Vol.
ジョージ・ラッセル
47%
キミ・アントネッリ
32%
シャルル・ルクレール
5%
オスカー・ピアストリ
5%
ルイス・ハミルトン
3%
ランド・ノリス
2%
マックス・フェルスタッペン
2%
エステバン・オコン
<1%
ニコ・ヒュルケンベルグ
<1%
セルジオ・ペレス
<1%
ランス・ストロール
<1%
ガブリエル・ボルトレート
<1%
フェルナンド・アロンソ
<1%
ピエール・ガスリー
<1%
リアム・ローソン
<1%
アルヴィド・リンドブラッド
<1%
カルロス・サインツJr.
<1%
イサック・ハジャー
<1%
オリバー・ベアマン
<1%
フランコ・コラピント
<1%
アレクサンダー・アルボン
<1%
バルテリ・ボッタス
<1%
ジョージ・ラッセル 47%
キミ・アントネッリ 31.8%
シャルル・ルクレール 5.3%
オスカー・ピアストリ 4.5%
$71,517,562 Vol.
$71,517,562 Vol.
ジョージ・ラッセル
47%
キミ・アントネッリ
32%
シャルル・ルクレール
5%
オスカー・ピアストリ
5%
ルイス・ハミルトン
3%
ランド・ノリス
2%
マックス・フェルスタッペン
2%
エステバン・オコン
<1%
ニコ・ヒュルケンベルグ
<1%
セルジオ・ペレス
<1%
ランス・ストロール
<1%
ガブリエル・ボルトレート
<1%
フェルナンド・アロンソ
<1%
ピエール・ガスリー
<1%
リアム・ローソン
<1%
アルヴィド・リンドブラッド
<1%
カルロス・サインツJr.
<1%
イサック・ハジャー
<1%
オリバー・ベアマン
<1%
フランコ・コラピント
<1%
アレクサンダー・アルボン
<1%
バルテリ・ボッタス
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
マーケット開始日： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' overwhelming dominance with the superior 2026 power unit and chassis under new active aero regulations has vaulted George Russell and rookie Kimi Antonelli to the top of the drivers' standings after three Grands Prix, positioning them as clear trader favorites at 46.5% and 31.8% implied probabilities. Antonelli's back-to-back victories in China and Japan—capped by pole-to-flag at Suzuka—propelled him past Russell into the points lead at 72-63, showcasing his rapid adaptation. However, Russell retains consensus favoritism due to his experience, six career wins, and frustration over bad-luck safety car timing costing him a potential Japan podium, with traders anticipating his rebound in the team's pacesetting package amid Red Bull's qualifying woes and Verstappen's P6/DNF start sidelining other contenders like Leclerc.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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