Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 21% implied probability to exit before year-end 2026, following the resolution of Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome to YES after his April 20 announcement transitioning to executive chairman effective September 1. This reflects broader 2026 tech sector turbulence, including over 128,000 layoffs, high CEO turnover at firms like Adobe and Spotify, and pressures from faltering AI investments amid competitive large language model races. Altman's odds stem from past board ouster drama and recent senior executive departures signaling internal strains, while Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) faces crypto volatility and Andy Jassy (Amazon, ~11%) cloud competition. Watch Q2 earnings calls for board signals that could swing sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 21% implied probability to exit before year-end 2026, following the resolution of Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome to YES after his April 20 announcement transitioning to executive chairman effective September 1. This reflects broader 2026 tech sector turbulence, including over 128,000 layoffs, high CEO turnover at firms like Adobe and Spotify, and pressures from faltering AI investments amid competitive large language model races. Altman's odds stem from past board ouster drama and recent senior executive departures signaling internal strains, while Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) faces crypto volatility and Andy Jassy (Amazon, ~11%) cloud competition. Watch Q2 earnings calls for board signals that could swing sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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