Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 21% implied probability to exit before year-end 2026, following the market's resolution of Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome to Yes after Apple's April 20 announcement of his transition to executive chairman effective September 1, with John Ternus succeeding. This reflects a broader 2026 wave of tech leadership churn amid over 128,000 layoffs, faltering AI investments, and economic pressures, heightening risks for figures like Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) amid crypto volatility and Dan Clancy at Twitch (10%) facing platform competition. Upcoming Q2 earnings calls and board actions could catalyze further shifts in this closely watched basket market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$691,812 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
9%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%
Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
$691,812 Vol.
Sam Altman - OpenAI
$84,344 Vol.
20%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
$27,511 Vol.
9%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
$82,177 Vol.
12%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
$43,841 Vol.
9%
Sundar Pichai - Google
$36,953 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 21% implied probability to exit before year-end 2026, following the market's resolution of Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome to Yes after Apple's April 20 announcement of his transition to executive chairman effective September 1, with John Ternus succeeding. This reflects a broader 2026 wave of tech leadership churn amid over 128,000 layoffs, faltering AI investments, and economic pressures, heightening risks for figures like Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) amid crypto volatility and Dan Clancy at Twitch (10%) facing platform competition. Upcoming Q2 earnings calls and board actions could catalyze further shifts in this closely watched basket market.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$691,812Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 21% implied probability to exit before year-end 2026, following the market's resolution of Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome to Yes after Apple's April 20 announcement of his transition to executive chairman effective September 1, with John Ternus succeeding. This reflects a broader 2026 wave of tech leadership churn amid over 128,000 layoffs, faltering AI investments, and economic pressures, heightening risks for figures like Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) amid crypto volatility and Dan Clancy at Twitch (10%) facing platform competition. Upcoming Q2 earnings calls and board actions could catalyze further shifts in this closely watched basket market.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Volume
$691,812Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 21% implied probability to exit before year-end 2026, following the market's resolution of Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome to Yes after Apple's April 20 announcement of his transition to executive chairman effective September 1, with John Ternus succeeding. This reflects a broader 2026 wave of tech leadership churn amid over 128,000 layoffs, faltering AI investments, and economic pressures, heightening risks for figures like Brian Armstrong at Coinbase (12%) amid crypto volatility and Dan Clancy at Twitch (10%) facing platform competition. Upcoming Q2 earnings calls and board actions could catalyze further shifts in this closely watched basket market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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