Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin market reflects trader focus on the company’s March 18 guidance of approximately 81% alongside robust AI-driven demand. Q2 results showed non-GAAP gross margin expanding to 74.9% on higher pricing, favorable product mix, and tight supply in advanced DRAM and HBM, with revenue nearly tripling year-over-year. Consensus estimates and recent analyst commentary point to further sequential improvement from these factors through the May quarter, supporting elevated probabilities for outcomes above 82.5%. Earnings scheduled for June 24 will provide the resolution data, with any variance from the 81% midpoint likely tied to realized ASP trends and mix shifts in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato85%+ 50%
82.5%–85% 27%
80%–82.5% 23%
77.5%–80% 4.0%
$10,535 Vol.
$10,535 Vol.
24 giu 2026
<75%
2%
75%–77.5%
3%
77.5%–80%
4%
80%–82.5%
23%
82.5%–85%
24%
85%+
50%
85%+ 50%
82.5%–85% 27%
80%–82.5% 23%
77.5%–80% 4.0%
$10,535 Vol.
$10,535 Vol.
24 giu 2026
<75%
$1,120 Vol.
2%
75%–77.5%
$437 Vol.
3%
77.5%–80%
$527 Vol.
4%
80%–82.5%
$1,637 Vol.
23%
82.5%–85%
$577 Vol.
24%
85%+
$6,237 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin market reflects trader focus on the company’s March 18 guidance of approximately 81% alongside robust AI-driven demand. Q2 results showed non-GAAP gross margin expanding to 74.9% on higher pricing, favorable product mix, and tight supply in advanced DRAM and HBM, with revenue nearly tripling year-over-year. Consensus estimates and recent analyst commentary point to further sequential improvement from these factors through the May quarter, supporting elevated probabilities for outcomes above 82.5%. Earnings scheduled for June 24 will provide the resolution data, with any variance from the 81% midpoint likely tied to realized ASP trends and mix shifts in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Volume
$10,535Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin market reflects trader focus on the company’s March 18 guidance of approximately 81% alongside robust AI-driven demand. Q2 results showed non-GAAP gross margin expanding to 74.9% on higher pricing, favorable product mix, and tight supply in advanced DRAM and HBM, with revenue nearly tripling year-over-year. Consensus estimates and recent analyst commentary point to further sequential improvement from these factors through the May quarter, supporting elevated probabilities for outcomes above 82.5%. Earnings scheduled for June 24 will provide the resolution data, with any variance from the 81% midpoint likely tied to realized ASP trends and mix shifts in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$10,535Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin market reflects trader focus on the company’s March 18 guidance of approximately 81% alongside robust AI-driven demand. Q2 results showed non-GAAP gross margin expanding to 74.9% on higher pricing, favorable product mix, and tight supply in advanced DRAM and HBM, with revenue nearly tripling year-over-year. Consensus estimates and recent analyst commentary point to further sequential improvement from these factors through the May quarter, supporting elevated probabilities for outcomes above 82.5%. Earnings scheduled for June 24 will provide the resolution data, with any variance from the 81% midpoint likely tied to realized ASP trends and mix shifts in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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