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Elezioni·Primarie

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·Primarie

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Poindexter 100.0%

Ann Marie Donegan <1%

Ed FitzGerald <1%

John Butchko <1%

Polymarket

$19,101 Vol.

Brian Poindexter 100.0%

Ann Marie Donegan <1%

Ed FitzGerald <1%

John Butchko <1%

Polymarket

$19,101 Vol.

Ann Marie Donegan

$1,169 Vol.

No

Ed FitzGerald

$2,124 Vol.

No

John Butchko

$1,231 Vol.

No

Michael Eisner

$1,208 Vol.

No

Keith Mundy

$1,149 Vol.

No

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$925 Vol.

No

Brian Poindexter

$9,612 Vol.

Yes

Scott Schulz

$1,682 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Brian Poindexter's commanding 99.7% trader consensus as OH-07 Democratic primary winner stems from his decisive late-night surge in May 5, 2026, election results, pulling ahead of former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald after an initial neck-and-neck race with each at around 28% early on.** The union ironworker's strong endorsements from Bernie Sanders, the Working Families Party, and blue-collar unions fueled superior grassroots turnout in this low-turnout, eight-candidate field across the redrawn district challenging Republican Rep. Max Miller. Poindexter's appeal to working-class voters in Northeast Ohio's battleground solidified his lead as precincts reported, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While official certification awaits, scenarios like significant unreported absentee or provisional ballots, a recount request if margins tighten below 0.5%, or legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though traders see minimal risk given the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,101
Data di fine
5 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Brian Poindexter's commanding 99.7% trader consensus as OH-07 Democratic primary winner stems from his decisive late-night surge in May 5, 2026, election results, pulling ahead of former Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald after an initial neck-and-neck race with each at around 28% early on.** The union ironworker's strong endorsements from Bernie Sanders, the Working Families Party, and blue-collar unions fueled superior grassroots turnout in this low-turnout, eight-candidate field across the redrawn district challenging Republican Rep. Max Miller. Poindexter's appeal to working-class voters in Northeast Ohio's battleground solidified his lead as precincts reported, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While official certification awaits, scenarios like significant unreported absentee or provisional ballots, a recount request if margins tighten below 0.5%, or legal challenges could theoretically alter the outcome, though traders see minimal risk given the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,101
Data di fine
5 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Brian Poindexter" a 100%, seguito da "Ann Marie Donegan" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $19.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 13, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Brian Poindexter" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ann Marie Donegan" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.