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Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Lander 89%

Dan Goldman 11%

Cameron Kasky 1.0%

Yuh-Line Niou <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Brad Lander 89%

Dan Goldman 11%

Cameron Kasky 1.0%

Yuh-Line Niou <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Brad Lander

$3,373 Vol.

89%

Dan Goldman

$1,458 Vol.

11%

Cameron Kasky

$929 Vol.

1%

Yuh-Line Niou

$723 Vol.

<1%

Alexa Avilés

$1,044 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary market prices former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander as an overwhelming favorite at 87.5% implied probability to defeat incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, reflecting recent progressive momentum amid the June 23, 2026, contest spanning Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn. Key drivers include major endorsements from 32BJ SEIU on April 2, Brooklyn Young Democrats on April 13, Our Revolution on March 20, and MoveOn, bolstering Lander's appeal to working-class and activist voters. Lander's March 23 "People's Pledge" challenge highlighted Goldman's $1.7 million in pro-Israel PAC donations, including $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle, amplifying scrutiny on incumbent vulnerabilities in a left-leaning district. While Goldman secures some local club backing, traders view Lander's grassroots surge as decisive, though late fundraising shifts or scandals could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,527
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary market prices former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander as an overwhelming favorite at 87.5% implied probability to defeat incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, reflecting recent progressive momentum amid the June 23, 2026, contest spanning Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn. Key drivers include major endorsements from 32BJ SEIU on April 2, Brooklyn Young Democrats on April 13, Our Revolution on March 20, and MoveOn, bolstering Lander's appeal to working-class and activist voters. Lander's March 23 "People's Pledge" challenge highlighted Goldman's $1.7 million in pro-Israel PAC donations, including $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle, amplifying scrutiny on incumbent vulnerabilities in a left-leaning district. While Goldman secures some local club backing, traders view Lander's grassroots surge as decisive, though late fundraising shifts or scandals could narrow the gap.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,527
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Brad Lander" a 89%, seguito da "Dan Goldman" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Nov 25, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Brad Lander" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dan Goldman" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.