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Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Lander 82%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Vol.

Brad Lander 82%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Vol.

Brad Lander

$4,962 Vol.

82%

Dan Goldman

$2,469 Vol.

18%

Cameron Kasky

$1,591 Vol.

<1%

Alexa Avilés

$1,608 Vol.

<1%

Yuh-Line Niou

$1,313 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors former NYC Comptroller Brad Lander at 81.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman (17.5%), driven by a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—even from a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing Lander ahead 47%-42% among 465 likely voters. Lander leverages strong name recognition from his City Council and comptroller tenure in the district's progressive Brownstone Brooklyn core, plus endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Goldman counters with Gov. Kathy Hochul's support, a May 11 union rally, and over $1 million in self-funding, but faces attacks over special interest ties. Minor candidates trail with negligible support ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,942
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NY-10 Democratic primary heavily favors former NYC Comptroller Brad Lander at 81.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman (17.5%), driven by a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—even from a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing Lander ahead 47%-42% among 465 likely voters. Lander leverages strong name recognition from his City Council and comptroller tenure in the district's progressive Brownstone Brooklyn core, plus endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Goldman counters with Gov. Kathy Hochul's support, a May 11 union rally, and over $1 million in self-funding, but faces attacks over special interest ties. Minor candidates trail with negligible support ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,942
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Brad Lander" a 82%, seguito da "Dan Goldman" a 18%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 82¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $11.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Brad Lander" a 82%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dan Goldman" a 18%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.