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Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·Primarie

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Lander 100.0%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Yuh-Line Niou <1%

Dan Goldman <1%

Polymarket

$24,111 Vol.

Brad Lander 100.0%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Yuh-Line Niou <1%

Dan Goldman <1%

Polymarket

$24,111 Vol.

Brad Lander

$8,637 Vol.

Yes

Alexa Avilés

$2,290 Vol.

No

Yuh-Line Niou

$2,469 Vol.

No

Dan Goldman

$8,280 Vol.

No

Cameron Kasky

$2,435 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds a commanding position in the New York 10th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, due to a substantial polling lead and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. As former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate, Lander has leveraged higher name recognition and positioned himself to the left of incumbent Dan Goldman on issues such as military aid policy, immigration enforcement, and economic priorities. Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has attacked Lander's record during recent debates, yet trails significantly in voter surveys. With the primary days away, trader consensus reflects Lander's consistent advantage across demographics, particularly younger voters. Late developments like turnout surges favoring the incumbent or unforeseen controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,111
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds a commanding position in the New York 10th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, due to a substantial polling lead and endorsements from progressive leaders including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders. As former city comptroller and 2025 mayoral candidate, Lander has leveraged higher name recognition and positioned himself to the left of incumbent Dan Goldman on issues such as military aid policy, immigration enforcement, and economic priorities. Goldman, backed by Governor Kathy Hochul and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has attacked Lander's record during recent debates, yet trails significantly in voter surveys. With the primary days away, trader consensus reflects Lander's consistent advantage across demographics, particularly younger voters. Late developments like turnout surges favoring the incumbent or unforeseen controversies remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,111
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

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Domande frequenti

"NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Brad Lander" a 100%, seguito da "Alexa Avilés" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $24.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Brad Lander" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Alexa Avilés" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.