Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after the deadline passed on March 31, 2026, without any triggering events materializing, reflecting the low base rates for such high-stakes developments amid geopolitical stability and domestic gridlock. Key non-events include no fall of the Iranian regime despite ongoing tensions, the Federal Reserve holding rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, President Trump issuing no national emergency declaration on election interference or invoking the Insurrection Act, the SAVE Act failing to reach signature amid congressional delays, and no joint candidacy announcements from James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn for the Texas Senate race. With verification ongoing via UMA oracle, lingering resolution uncertainty tempers full certainty, but the absence of late-March catalysts like policy shifts or diplomatic escalations reinforces the crowd's assessment of uneventful continuity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNiente
$332,000 Vol.
$332,000 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Niente
$332,000 Vol.
$332,000 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after the deadline passed on March 31, 2026, without any triggering events materializing, reflecting the low base rates for such high-stakes developments amid geopolitical stability and domestic gridlock. Key non-events include no fall of the Iranian regime despite ongoing tensions, the Federal Reserve holding rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, President Trump issuing no national emergency declaration on election interference or invoking the Insurrection Act, the SAVE Act failing to reach signature amid congressional delays, and no joint candidacy announcements from James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn for the Texas Senate race. With verification ongoing via UMA oracle, lingering resolution uncertainty tempers full certainty, but the absence of late-March catalysts like policy shifts or diplomatic escalations reinforces the crowd's assessment of uneventful continuity.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Mercato aperto: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$332,000Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after the deadline passed on March 31, 2026, without any triggering events materializing, reflecting the low base rates for such high-stakes developments amid geopolitical stability and domestic gridlock. Key non-events include no fall of the Iranian regime despite ongoing tensions, the Federal Reserve holding rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, President Trump issuing no national emergency declaration on election interference or invoking the Insurrection Act, the SAVE Act failing to reach signature amid congressional delays, and no joint candidacy announcements from James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn for the Texas Senate race. With verification ongoing via UMA oracle, lingering resolution uncertainty tempers full certainty, but the absence of late-March catalysts like policy shifts or diplomatic escalations reinforces the crowd's assessment of uneventful continuity.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$332,000Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market after the deadline passed on March 31, 2026, without any triggering events materializing, reflecting the low base rates for such high-stakes developments amid geopolitical stability and domestic gridlock. Key non-events include no fall of the Iranian regime despite ongoing tensions, the Federal Reserve holding rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, President Trump issuing no national emergency declaration on election interference or invoking the Insurrection Act, the SAVE Act failing to reach signature amid congressional delays, and no joint candidacy announcements from James Talarico and incumbent John Cornyn for the Texas Senate race. With verification ongoing via UMA oracle, lingering resolution uncertainty tempers full certainty, but the absence of late-March catalysts like policy shifts or diplomatic escalations reinforces the crowd's assessment of uneventful continuity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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