Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% as most March triggers have lapsed without occurrence: the Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil shocks from Iran tensions; the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration; the Insurrection Act went unused despite nationwide No Kings protests on March 28 drawing millions; and Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessments. Odds hinge on the Texas Senate race, where Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination on March 3, but Sen. John Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against AG Ken Paxton, who leads 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Texas poll among likely voters, reducing dual-candidacy prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNiente
$338,858 Vol.
$338,858 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Niente
$338,858 Vol.
$338,858 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% as most March triggers have lapsed without occurrence: the Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil shocks from Iran tensions; the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration; the Insurrection Act went unused despite nationwide No Kings protests on March 28 drawing millions; and Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessments. Odds hinge on the Texas Senate race, where Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination on March 3, but Sen. John Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against AG Ken Paxton, who leads 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Texas poll among likely voters, reducing dual-candidacy prospects.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Mercato aperto: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$338,858Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% as most March triggers have lapsed without occurrence: the Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil shocks from Iran tensions; the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration; the Insurrection Act went unused despite nationwide No Kings protests on March 28 drawing millions; and Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessments. Odds hinge on the Texas Senate race, where Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination on March 3, but Sen. John Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against AG Ken Paxton, who leads 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Texas poll among likely voters, reducing dual-candidacy prospects.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$338,858Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% as most March triggers have lapsed without occurrence: the Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March 18 FOMC meeting amid oil shocks from Iran tensions; the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration; the Insurrection Act went unused despite nationwide No Kings protests on March 28 drawing millions; and Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessments. Odds hinge on the Texas Senate race, where Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination on March 3, but Sen. John Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against AG Ken Paxton, who leads 48%-45% in a May 5 University of Texas poll among likely voters, reducing dual-candidacy prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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