Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCleitinho Azevedo 51%
Mateus Simões 15.5%
Alexandre Kalil 9.8%
Rodrigo Pacheco 5%
$95,619 Vol.
$95,619 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
51%
Mateus Simões
16%
Alexandre Kalil
10%
Rodrigo Pacheco
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
4%
Alexandre Silveira
3%
Tadeu Leite
3%
Benoni Mendes
2%
Nikolas Ferreira
1%
Aécio Neves
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 51%
Mateus Simões 15.5%
Alexandre Kalil 9.8%
Rodrigo Pacheco 5%
$95,619 Vol.
$95,619 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$40,207 Vol.
51%
Mateus Simões
$4,325 Vol.
16%
Alexandre Kalil
$19,167 Vol.
10%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$15,910 Vol.
5%
Gabriel Azevedo
$3,296 Vol.
4%
Alexandre Silveira
$1,404 Vol.
3%
Tadeu Leite
$2,562 Vol.
3%
Benoni Mendes
$2,405 Vol.
2%
Nikolas Ferreira
$4,413 Vol.
1%
Aécio Neves
$1,929 Vol.
1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$95,619Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$95,619Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo holds the leading position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race due to consistent first-round polling leads of 28–37% through May 2026, backed by strong conservative and evangelical support in Brazil’s second-largest electoral state. The field remains fragmented, with challengers including Alexandre Kalil, Mateus Simões, and low-single-digit showings for Rodrigo Pacheco, Nikolas Ferreira, and others. Incumbent Romeu Zema is term-limited, while left-leaning efforts face uncertainty after Pacheco stepped back from a potential run amid stalled alliance talks with the Lula administration. Potential Republican-PL alignment and Cleitinho’s continued pre-campaign positioning reinforce trader consensus around his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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