Skip to main content
Market icon

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Market icon

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

10-14 38.3%

25-29 5.7%

35-39 1.4%

30-34 1.3%

Polymarket

$16,802 Vol.

10-14 38.3%

25-29 5.7%

35-39 1.4%

30-34 1.3%

Polymarket

$16,802 Vol.

10-14

$1,033 Vol.

38%

15-19

$1,122 Vol.

43%

20-24

$1,456 Vol.

44%

25-29

$1,275 Vol.

6%

30-34

$1,083 Vol.

1%

35-39

$1,121 Vol.

1%

40-44

$1,108 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$830 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$1,235 Vol.

<1%

55-59

$1,599 Vol.

1%

60+

$1,465 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) reflects steady output of historical statements from the martyred Supreme Leader, mirroring the prior week's resolution at 15-19 posts for April 7-14, which anchors the tight split between 20-24 (43.9%) and 15-19 (43.5%) for April 14-21. No posts have appeared since April 14 amid a slow start and regional de-escalation signals like the recent Israel-Lebanon truce, keeping 10-14 viable at 38.3% if the pattern holds. Separation could arise from a posting surge tied to commemorative dates, holidays, or diplomatic responses through April 21, or prolonged quiet favoring lower tallies, with the account's post-death management sustaining predictable volume absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,802
Data di fine
21 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) reflects steady output of historical statements from the martyred Supreme Leader, mirroring the prior week's resolution at 15-19 posts for April 7-14, which anchors the tight split between 20-24 (43.9%) and 15-19 (43.5%) for April 14-21. No posts have appeared since April 14 amid a slow start and regional de-escalation signals like the recent Israel-Lebanon truce, keeping 10-14 viable at 38.3% if the pattern holds. Separation could arise from a posting surge tied to commemorative dates, holidays, or diplomatic responses through April 21, or prolonged quiet favoring lower tallies, with the account's post-death management sustaining predictable volume absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,802
Data di fine
21 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "20-24" a 44%, seguito da "15-19" a 43%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" ha generato $16.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" è "20-24" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "15-19" a 43%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.