Trader consensus slightly favors the USMNT at 41% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D, with Türkiye nipping at their heels at 36%, driven by the hosts' home-soil edges in at least two group matches and deeper squad options, tempered by a recent friendly draw exposing defensive vulnerabilities against Türkiye's dynamic attack led by rising stars like Arda Güler. Paraguay's 17.5% reflects gritty CONMEBOL form, set-piece prowess, and counterattacking threat despite key injury concerns to midfield anchors, while Australia's 7.3% lags amid grueling trans-Pacific travel, modest recent results versus top sides, and reliance on aging Socceroos veterans. Pre-tournament previews highlight mutual familiarity from USMNT friendlies against all rivals, fueling a fiercely contested group stage race where upsets loom large.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoStati Uniti 41%
Turchia 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.1%
$44,361 Vol.
$44,361 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Stati Uniti
41%
Turchia
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
7%
Stati Uniti 41%
Turchia 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.1%
$44,361 Vol.
$44,361 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Stati Uniti
$12,862 Vol.
41%
Turchia
$17,376 Vol.
36%
Paraguay
$8,607 Vol.
18%
Australia
$5,516 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors the USMNT at 41% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D, with Türkiye nipping at their heels at 36%, driven by the hosts' home-soil edges in at least two group matches and deeper squad options, tempered by a recent friendly draw exposing defensive vulnerabilities against Türkiye's dynamic attack led by rising stars like Arda Güler. Paraguay's 17.5% reflects gritty CONMEBOL form, set-piece prowess, and counterattacking threat despite key injury concerns to midfield anchors, while Australia's 7.3% lags amid grueling trans-Pacific travel, modest recent results versus top sides, and reliance on aging Socceroos veterans. Pre-tournament previews highlight mutual familiarity from USMNT friendlies against all rivals, fueling a fiercely contested group stage race where upsets loom large.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Volume
$44,361Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors the USMNT at 41% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D, with Türkiye nipping at their heels at 36%, driven by the hosts' home-soil edges in at least two group matches and deeper squad options, tempered by a recent friendly draw exposing defensive vulnerabilities against Türkiye's dynamic attack led by rising stars like Arda Güler. Paraguay's 17.5% reflects gritty CONMEBOL form, set-piece prowess, and counterattacking threat despite key injury concerns to midfield anchors, while Australia's 7.3% lags amid grueling trans-Pacific travel, modest recent results versus top sides, and reliance on aging Socceroos veterans. Pre-tournament previews highlight mutual familiarity from USMNT friendlies against all rivals, fueling a fiercely contested group stage race where upsets loom large.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,361Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors the USMNT at 41% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D, with Türkiye nipping at their heels at 36%, driven by the hosts' home-soil edges in at least two group matches and deeper squad options, tempered by a recent friendly draw exposing defensive vulnerabilities against Türkiye's dynamic attack led by rising stars like Arda Güler. Paraguay's 17.5% reflects gritty CONMEBOL form, set-piece prowess, and counterattacking threat despite key injury concerns to midfield anchors, while Australia's 7.3% lags amid grueling trans-Pacific travel, modest recent results versus top sides, and reliance on aging Socceroos veterans. Pre-tournament previews highlight mutual familiarity from USMNT friendlies against all rivals, fueling a fiercely contested group stage race where upsets loom large.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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