Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 66.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by April 28 reports from The Athletic that club president Florentino Perez views the former boss—who led Los Blancos to La Liga glory and a Champions League final from 2010-13—as his top choice to replace struggling incumbent Alvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa, promoted from Castilla in January 2026 after Xabi Alonso's sacking, sits at 49.5% amid a nightmare tenure marked by last week's Champions League elimination and dressing room unrest, though some hope lingers for his retention as a club legend. Lower probabilities for Didier Deschamps (16.4%) reflect post-2026 World Cup timing, while others like Pochettino trail amid Perez's clear Mourinho preference.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJose Mourinho 67%
Didier Deschamps 16.1%
Mauricio Pochettino 10.8%
Jurgen Klopp 5.5%
$66,594 Vol.
$66,594 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
67%
Didier Deschamps
16%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Jurgen Klopp
5%
Enzo Maresca
4%
Unai Emery
4%
Zinedine Zidane
3%
Massimiliano Allegri
2%
Luis Enrique
1%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Jose Mourinho 67%
Didier Deschamps 16.1%
Mauricio Pochettino 10.8%
Jurgen Klopp 5.5%
$66,594 Vol.
$66,594 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
67%
Didier Deschamps
16%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Jurgen Klopp
5%
Enzo Maresca
4%
Unai Emery
4%
Zinedine Zidane
3%
Massimiliano Allegri
2%
Luis Enrique
1%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 66.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by April 28 reports from The Athletic that club president Florentino Perez views the former boss—who led Los Blancos to La Liga glory and a Champions League final from 2010-13—as his top choice to replace struggling incumbent Alvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa, promoted from Castilla in January 2026 after Xabi Alonso's sacking, sits at 49.5% amid a nightmare tenure marked by last week's Champions League elimination and dressing room unrest, though some hope lingers for his retention as a club legend. Lower probabilities for Didier Deschamps (16.4%) reflect post-2026 World Cup timing, while others like Pochettino trail amid Perez's clear Mourinho preference.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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