California's 31st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential voting and prior House races. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing against Republican Eric Ching for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on partisan composition and historical margins. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
$10,015 Vol.
$10,015 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,015 Vol.
$10,015 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,902 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$3,113 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 31st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential voting and prior House races. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing against Republican Eric Ching for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on partisan composition and historical margins. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$10,015Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 31st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential voting and prior House races. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing against Republican Eric Ching for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on partisan composition and historical margins. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,015Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 31st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential voting and prior House races. Incumbent Gil Cisneros secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing against Republican Eric Ching for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on partisan composition and historical margins. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 94.5 percent aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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