Untung/Rugi
Hari Terakhir

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
93.2¢
99.2¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
79.7¢
93.5¢

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
74.5¢
98.3¢

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
39.6¢
76.5¢

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30.1¢
38.9¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
54.1¢
78.5¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
88.1¢
94.2¢

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
74.5¢
94.1¢

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
95.9¢
98.7¢

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
19.5¢
59¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
71.5¢
86.5¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
70.6¢
82.1¢

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
90¢
97.1¢

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
63¢
82.5¢

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
36.4¢
64.5¢

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
75.9¢
79.5¢

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
