Trader consensus prices Alberta joining the United States at just 3.6%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum majority, federal negotiations, and parliamentary approval for any provincial secession—none of which have materialized despite a March 2026 independence petition surpassing the 178,000-signature threshold for a potential October provincial referendum. Polls show only about 30% support for independence alone, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming no appetite for U.S. statehood amid First Nations legal challenges and U.S. political math favoring against admitting conservative voters. Realistic shifts would require an overwhelming secession vote, Ottawa's unlikely capitulation, and rare U.S. congressional action, compounded by ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and immigration.
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BARU
Dec 31, 2026
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices Alberta joining the United States at just 3.6%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum majority, federal negotiations, and parliamentary approval for any provincial secession—none of which have materialized despite a March 2026 independence petition surpassing the 178,000-signature threshold for a potential October provincial referendum. Polls show only about 30% support for independence alone, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming no appetite for U.S. statehood amid First Nations legal challenges and U.S. political math favoring against admitting conservative voters. Realistic shifts would require an overwhelming secession vote, Ottawa's unlikely capitulation, and rare U.S. congressional action, compounded by ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and immigration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,056Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices Alberta joining the United States at just 3.6%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum majority, federal negotiations, and parliamentary approval for any provincial secession—none of which have materialized despite a March 2026 independence petition surpassing the 178,000-signature threshold for a potential October provincial referendum. Polls show only about 30% support for independence alone, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming no appetite for U.S. statehood amid First Nations legal challenges and U.S. political math favoring against admitting conservative voters. Realistic shifts would require an overwhelming secession vote, Ottawa's unlikely capitulation, and rare U.S. congressional action, compounded by ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and immigration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$2,056Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices Alberta joining the United States at just 3.6%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which mandates a clear referendum majority, federal negotiations, and parliamentary approval for any provincial secession—none of which have materialized despite a March 2026 independence petition surpassing the 178,000-signature threshold for a potential October provincial referendum. Polls show only about 30% support for independence alone, with Premier Danielle Smith affirming no appetite for U.S. statehood amid First Nations legal challenges and U.S. political math favoring against admitting conservative voters. Realistic shifts would require an overwhelming secession vote, Ottawa's unlikely capitulation, and rare U.S. congressional action, compounded by ongoing federal-provincial tensions over resources and immigration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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