Robust earnings growth expectations, with Wall Street projecting 24-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026 fueled by AI-related capital spending, anchor trader sentiment for the index's year-end close. Recent geopolitical tensions elevating energy prices have pushed April CPI to 3.8% and core PCE to 3.3%, complicating the Federal Reserve's policy path and introducing inflation risks that could limit rate relief. With the benchmark near 7,400 in mid-June amid consolidation, the closely matched outcome probabilities—led by the >8,000 bucket at 28.5%—reflect balanced views on whether AI momentum can overcome these headwinds, consistent with analyst targets clustering between 7,600 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
>$8,000 29%
$7,000-$7,500 22%
$6,500-$7,000 20%
$7,500-$8,000 20%
$30,186 Vol.
$30,186 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
11%
$6,000-$6,500
13%
$6,500-$7,000
20%
$7,000-$7,500
22%
$7,500-$8,000
20%
>$8,000
29%
>$8,000 29%
$7,000-$7,500 22%
$6,500-$7,000 20%
$7,500-$8,000 20%
$30,186 Vol.
$30,186 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$17,459 Vol.
11%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,809 Vol.
13%
$6,500-$7,000
$3,066 Vol.
20%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,578 Vol.
22%
$7,500-$8,000
$3,019 Vol.
20%
>$8,000
$3,255 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Robust earnings growth expectations, with Wall Street projecting 24-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026 fueled by AI-related capital spending, anchor trader sentiment for the index's year-end close. Recent geopolitical tensions elevating energy prices have pushed April CPI to 3.8% and core PCE to 3.3%, complicating the Federal Reserve's policy path and introducing inflation risks that could limit rate relief. With the benchmark near 7,400 in mid-June amid consolidation, the closely matched outcome probabilities—led by the >8,000 bucket at 28.5%—reflect balanced views on whether AI momentum can overcome these headwinds, consistent with analyst targets clustering between 7,600 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$30,186Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Robust earnings growth expectations, with Wall Street projecting 24-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026 fueled by AI-related capital spending, anchor trader sentiment for the index's year-end close. Recent geopolitical tensions elevating energy prices have pushed April CPI to 3.8% and core PCE to 3.3%, complicating the Federal Reserve's policy path and introducing inflation risks that could limit rate relief. With the benchmark near 7,400 in mid-June amid consolidation, the closely matched outcome probabilities—led by the >8,000 bucket at 28.5%—reflect balanced views on whether AI momentum can overcome these headwinds, consistent with analyst targets clustering between 7,600 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$30,186Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Robust earnings growth expectations, with Wall Street projecting 24-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026 fueled by AI-related capital spending, anchor trader sentiment for the index's year-end close. Recent geopolitical tensions elevating energy prices have pushed April CPI to 3.8% and core PCE to 3.3%, complicating the Federal Reserve's policy path and introducing inflation risks that could limit rate relief. With the benchmark near 7,400 in mid-June amid consolidation, the closely matched outcome probabilities—led by the >8,000 bucket at 28.5%—reflect balanced views on whether AI momentum can overcome these headwinds, consistent with analyst targets clustering between 7,600 and 8,000. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation releases and FOMC communications.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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