Recent strong corporate earnings growth, including 27.7% year-over-year EPS expansion in Q1 2026 alongside 11.3% revenue gains, anchors trader sentiment around the closely matched 25.5% implied probabilities for S&P 500 closes in the $7,000-$7,500 and $7,500-$8,000 bands. AI-related capital expenditure by major cloud providers, projected to reach $670 billion this year, fuels analyst targets from firms such as Goldman Sachs at 7,600 and Ed Yardeni at 8,250, reflecting expectations for sustained 12% EPS growth. Elevated valuations and risks from Middle East-driven oil price pressures introduce downside skew toward lower buckets, while resilient labor markets and monetary policy stability limit broader bearish shifts ahead of further earnings releases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$7,500-$8,000 26%
<$6,000 19%
>$8,000 16%
$25,826 Vol.
$25,826 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
19%
$6,000-$6,500
15%
$6,500-$7,000
16%
$7,000-$7,500
26%
$7,500-$8,000
26%
>$8,000
16%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$7,500-$8,000 26%
<$6,000 19%
>$8,000 16%
$25,826 Vol.
$25,826 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$15,870 Vol.
19%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,479 Vol.
15%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,389 Vol.
16%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,114 Vol.
26%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,554 Vol.
26%
>$8,000
$2,420 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent strong corporate earnings growth, including 27.7% year-over-year EPS expansion in Q1 2026 alongside 11.3% revenue gains, anchors trader sentiment around the closely matched 25.5% implied probabilities for S&P 500 closes in the $7,000-$7,500 and $7,500-$8,000 bands. AI-related capital expenditure by major cloud providers, projected to reach $670 billion this year, fuels analyst targets from firms such as Goldman Sachs at 7,600 and Ed Yardeni at 8,250, reflecting expectations for sustained 12% EPS growth. Elevated valuations and risks from Middle East-driven oil price pressures introduce downside skew toward lower buckets, while resilient labor markets and monetary policy stability limit broader bearish shifts ahead of further earnings releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$25,826Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent strong corporate earnings growth, including 27.7% year-over-year EPS expansion in Q1 2026 alongside 11.3% revenue gains, anchors trader sentiment around the closely matched 25.5% implied probabilities for S&P 500 closes in the $7,000-$7,500 and $7,500-$8,000 bands. AI-related capital expenditure by major cloud providers, projected to reach $670 billion this year, fuels analyst targets from firms such as Goldman Sachs at 7,600 and Ed Yardeni at 8,250, reflecting expectations for sustained 12% EPS growth. Elevated valuations and risks from Middle East-driven oil price pressures introduce downside skew toward lower buckets, while resilient labor markets and monetary policy stability limit broader bearish shifts ahead of further earnings releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$25,826Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent strong corporate earnings growth, including 27.7% year-over-year EPS expansion in Q1 2026 alongside 11.3% revenue gains, anchors trader sentiment around the closely matched 25.5% implied probabilities for S&P 500 closes in the $7,000-$7,500 and $7,500-$8,000 bands. AI-related capital expenditure by major cloud providers, projected to reach $670 billion this year, fuels analyst targets from firms such as Goldman Sachs at 7,600 and Ed Yardeni at 8,250, reflecting expectations for sustained 12% EPS growth. Elevated valuations and risks from Middle East-driven oil price pressures introduce downside skew toward lower buckets, while resilient labor markets and monetary policy stability limit broader bearish shifts ahead of further earnings releases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan