The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a volatile period, with the index trading in a 52-week range of roughly 6,317–7,817 amid resilient corporate earnings and elevated valuations. The primary near-term driver remains the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds target by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent—the first tightening move in the current cycle—prompted by sticky inflation (headline PCE projected at 3.7 percent for 2026) and upside risks cited in the updated dot plot, which now shows a median policy rate of 4.1 percent through year-end 2027. Strong August payrolls (+162,000) and a 4.1 percent unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience that supports growth forecasts around 2.3 percent for 2026, yet higher-for-longer rates and geopolitical uncertainty are pressuring risk assets. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, core PCE data, and Q3 earnings releases, which will shape trader assessments of whether equity multiples can hold near current levels through December.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$372,096 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8,600
9%
↑ $8,200
27%
↑ $8,000
45%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
36%
↓ $7,000
28%
↓ $6,200
12%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
4%
↓ $4,500
4%
$372,096 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,600
$31,871 Vol.
9%
↑ $8,200
$23,939 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
45%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
66%
↓ $7,200
$405 Vol.
36%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Vol.
28%
↓ $6,200
$60,046 Vol.
12%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,800
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,200
$70,295 Vol.
4%
↓ $4,500
$62,517 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a volatile period, with the index trading in a 52-week range of roughly 6,317–7,817 amid resilient corporate earnings and elevated valuations. The primary near-term driver remains the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds target by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent—the first tightening move in the current cycle—prompted by sticky inflation (headline PCE projected at 3.7 percent for 2026) and upside risks cited in the updated dot plot, which now shows a median policy rate of 4.1 percent through year-end 2027. Strong August payrolls (+162,000) and a 4.1 percent unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience that supports growth forecasts around 2.3 percent for 2026, yet higher-for-longer rates and geopolitical uncertainty are pressuring risk assets. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, core PCE data, and Q3 earnings releases, which will shape trader assessments of whether equity multiples can hold near current levels through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$372,096Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a volatile period, with the index trading in a 52-week range of roughly 6,317–7,817 amid resilient corporate earnings and elevated valuations. The primary near-term driver remains the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds target by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent—the first tightening move in the current cycle—prompted by sticky inflation (headline PCE projected at 3.7 percent for 2026) and upside risks cited in the updated dot plot, which now shows a median policy rate of 4.1 percent through year-end 2027. Strong August payrolls (+162,000) and a 4.1 percent unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience that supports growth forecasts around 2.3 percent for 2026, yet higher-for-longer rates and geopolitical uncertainty are pressuring risk assets. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, core PCE data, and Q3 earnings releases, which will shape trader assessments of whether equity multiples can hold near current levels through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volume
$372,096Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a volatile period, with the index trading in a 52-week range of roughly 6,317–7,817 amid resilient corporate earnings and elevated valuations. The primary near-term driver remains the Federal Reserve’s September 16 decision to hike the federal funds target by 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00 percent—the first tightening move in the current cycle—prompted by sticky inflation (headline PCE projected at 3.7 percent for 2026) and upside risks cited in the updated dot plot, which now shows a median policy rate of 4.1 percent through year-end 2027. Strong August payrolls (+162,000) and a 4.1 percent unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience that supports growth forecasts around 2.3 percent for 2026, yet higher-for-longer rates and geopolitical uncertainty are pressuring risk assets. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, core PCE data, and Q3 earnings releases, which will shape trader assessments of whether equity multiples can hold near current levels through December.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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